Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 29 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatGroup 3

Green Sovereign

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

50/1 → 25/1

Still 50/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

19 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+240% better than SP · +4.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Dover Street

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

40/1 → 18/1

23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Breacher

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

10/3 → 2/1

Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Alfred Wallace

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

7/1 → 5/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook

20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+127% better than SP · +14.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Too Soon

Goodwood · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 10/3

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright

21 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted

Risks

• Up 17lb. 7lb below career-high OR 101.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:30, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Bosphorus Rose

Curragh · 15:40 · 14 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:27, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lord Melbourne

Goodwood · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 14/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · 7Bet

21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 9lb. 7lb below career-high OR 103.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Elyatta

Curragh · 14:28 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · BetTom

17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:03, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Silverella

Goodwood · 13:25 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Roku Nana

Goodwood · 13:25 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

8/1 → 5/1

Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betano

24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Baileys Warrior

Chepstow · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 12/1

Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · Matchbook

18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:21, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Lily Pink

Goodwood · 13:25 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet

17 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +5.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:21, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Alanah Bananah

Sandown · 13:40 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:18, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Victoria Night

Sandown · 13:40 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

12/1 → 8/1

20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.25)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Bassrah

Sandown · 13:40 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

17 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Johnny Soda

Curragh · 16:15 · 17 runners · Other

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Pellitory

Goodwood · 14:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 29 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Kingofthegame

Cartmel · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

7 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Cartmel. 2/5 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:09, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Margot Mae

Curragh · 14:28 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 5/2

Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

16 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Samnina

Curragh · 13:53 · 10 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:03, 29 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Palamon

Cartmel · 16:25 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:00, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Caprelo

Goodwood · 16:20 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 82.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:00, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Maximising

Windsor · 19:00 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom

21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lexington Blitz

Goodwood · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

26 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Goodwood. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 98.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:48, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Kon Tiki

Sandown · 14:50 · 10 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom

23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:39, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sunny Orange

Beverley · 14:55 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Beverley. 2/14 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:33, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Naqeeb

Goodwood · 15:10 · 7 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

12 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Goodwood. 1/4 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-43% better than SP · -3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:24, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Invicta Rose

Chepstow · 18:15 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom

21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:21, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

L'Eagle Aid

Beverley · 14:20 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:15, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Sindria

Curragh · 15:40 · 14 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite

18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:09, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Thi Qar

Sandown · 13:40 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Betano · BetWright · Matchbook · Quinn Bet

9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)

Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kokbastau

Sandown · 14:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

A I Nation

Curragh · 13:18 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

66/1 → 33/1

Still 66/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 80/1 (90.00)
SP: 81.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +0.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bold Impact

Windsor · 19:00 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet · Matchbook

11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

• Windsor. 1/4 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Pseudonym

Goodwood · 15:45 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

50/1 → 28/1

26 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 29 Aug 2026

FlatListed

Tenability

Windsor · 18:30 · 8 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:15, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Livenka

Curragh · 15:03 · 5 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lethal Nymph

Beverley · 13:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 7/1

26 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +12.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Caffu Zafeen

Curragh · 16:50 · 19 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +3.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Appier

Goodwood · 16:20 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 10/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet Victor

19 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Goodwood. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +5.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 29 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

Browse all receipts