Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 29 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP

Head Girl

Chepstow · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook

13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +18.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:55, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

HK Fourteen

Windsor · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +8.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:55, 29 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Aill Dubh

Cartmel · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 17 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Cartmel. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:55, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Madman

Windsor · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Windsor. 2/5 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +10.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:49, 29 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Halfway House Lad

Cartmel · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 7/1

Still 8/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Cartmel. 1/3 at this course.

Risks

• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:46, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Apothic Red

Curragh · 16:50 · 19 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Betano · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:43, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Call The Cavalry

Curragh · 16:50 · 19 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

50/1 → 25/1

Still 50/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet

18 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 15
Alert price: 200/1 (210.00)
SP: 101.00
Beat SP: Yes
+108% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:31, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Filey Beach

Beverley · 16:45 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

33/1 → 20/1

26 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:25, 29 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Got Grey

Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 14/1

Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright

24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:42, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Drop Dead Gorgeous

Curragh · 15:40 · 14 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:27, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lucky Sevens

Windsor · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Midnite · Virgin Bet · Smarkets

17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:27, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Wishful Thinker

Beverley · 15:35 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

14 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:15, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Spinney

Windsor · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 11lb. 2lb below career-high OR 59.

• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:09, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Celebrating Ethel

Chepstow · 19:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 6/1

Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+96% better than SP · +9.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Knightmare

Chepstow · 19:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 4/1

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet

22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Chepstow. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Elora Prince

Chepstow · 19:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 17/2

Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom

20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+117% better than SP · +9.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

City Escape

Chepstow · 19:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 4/1

Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 29 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Secret Secret

Cartmel · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Matchbook · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:00, 29 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Lermoos Legend

Cartmel · 16:25 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · 7Bet · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:57, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Fast Tracker

Goodwood · 15:10 · 7 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

22/1 → 18/1

Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

26 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+77% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:57, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rapide Vega

Beverley · 14:55 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 4/1

24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.25)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +6.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:54, 29 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Tanking Along

Cartmel · 16:25 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Quinn Bet

25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:54, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Blanquita

Beverley · 15:35 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Dover Street

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

40/1 → 18/1

23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Sonic Angel

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

13/2 → 4/1

Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Push The Boat Out

Curragh · 15:03 · 5 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Curragh. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Green Sovereign

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

50/1 → 25/1

Still 50/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

19 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+240% better than SP · +4.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Breacher

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

10/3 → 2/1

Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Alfred Wallace

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

7/1 → 5/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook

20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+127% better than SP · +14.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Kodiac City

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

25/1 → 14/1

23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Too Soon

Goodwood · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 10/3

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright

21 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted

Risks

• Up 17lb. 7lb below career-high OR 101.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:30, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Bosphorus Rose

Curragh · 15:40 · 14 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:27, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lord Melbourne

Goodwood · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 14/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · 7Bet

21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 9lb. 7lb below career-high OR 103.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Elyatta

Curragh · 14:28 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · BetTom

17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:03, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Roku Nana

Goodwood · 13:25 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

8/1 → 5/1

Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betano

24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Silverella

Goodwood · 13:25 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Lily Pink

Goodwood · 13:25 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet

17 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +5.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:21, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Baileys Warrior

Chepstow · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 12/1

Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · Matchbook

18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:21, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Alanah Bananah

Sandown · 13:40 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:18, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Bassrah

Sandown · 13:40 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

17 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 29 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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