Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 29 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 14:55 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Beverley. 2/14 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:33, 29 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 2
Goodwood · 15:10 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
12 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Goodwood. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-43% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:24, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 18:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:21, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 14:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:15, 29 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 3
Curragh · 15:40 · 14 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:09, 29 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sandown · 13:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Betano · BetWright · Matchbook · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 14:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 29 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Curragh · 13:18 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
66/1 → 33/1
Still 66/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 80/1 (90.00)
SP: 81.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +0.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 19:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Windsor. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 29 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Goodwood · 15:45 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
50/1 → 28/1
26 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 29 Aug 2026
FlatListed
Windsor · 18:30 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:15, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 13:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
26 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +12.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 29 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 3
Curragh · 15:03 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 16:50 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 16:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet Victor
19 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Goodwood. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 29 Aug 2026
Flat
Curragh · 16:15 · 17 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 16:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 33/1 (32.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 16:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 46lb below career-high OR 124.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+122% better than SP · +12.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 29 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Star Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/12 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 29 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Cartmel · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 16:05 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 29 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Goodwood · 15:45 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
26 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.75)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 14:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 14:28 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 87.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 16:50 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. 11lb below career-high OR 84.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 13:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 16:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetTom · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Soft vs Good. First run on this going.
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 77.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 29 Aug 2026
Flat
Curragh · 16:15 · 17 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 19:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 16:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 19:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+188% better than SP · +16.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 18:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 61.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 29 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 29 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 2
Goodwood · 15:10 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
Still 25/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright
24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Windsor. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+205% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 29 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 16:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
11 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Cartmel. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 115.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 29 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Curragh · 13:18 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 16:35 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Midnite
19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+106% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 29 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Browse all receipts