Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Chepstow. 1/11 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 14:07 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · BetTom
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/10 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 15:51 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Epsom · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 14:07 · 6 runners · Handicap
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -6.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 14:07 · 6 runners · Handicap
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 59.
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Epsom · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -6.3 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 14lb. 2lb below career-high OR 61.
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 15:51 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden
Still 15/8 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 2/1 (2.94)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +25.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 13:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 5/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +20.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/13 at this course.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Flat
Ripon · 16:45 · 10 runners · Other
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 25/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 13lb. 9lb below career-high OR 91.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -6.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 16:35 · 16 runners · Handicap
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 14:42 · 7 runners · Handicap
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -3.9 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Chepstow · 14:55 · 4 runners · Maiden
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Flat
Roscommon · 18:25 · 5 runners · Other
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Epsom · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 11/4 at 15 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. 16lb below career-high OR 100.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 5/4 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
16 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -11.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 16:55 · 10 runners · Handicap
26 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 16:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -5.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 16:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 15:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Cork · 17:15 · 18 runners · Handicap
23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Beverley · 14:50 · 13 runners · Maiden
26 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Cork · 17:15 · 18 runners · Handicap
22 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 17
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: No
-49% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
FlatListed
Beverley · 14:15 · 8 runners · Listed
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+77% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Cork · 13:50 · 15 runners · Maiden
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 14:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Yarmouth · 16:35 · 11 runners · Handicap
26 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 14:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
26 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 4lb below career-high OR 87.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 14:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetWright · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 14:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Goodwood. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 14:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
26 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
