🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 16:50 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Heavy vs Soft. First run on this going.
• Up 6lb. 18lb below career-high OR 100.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +12.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Epsom · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 11/4 at 15 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. 16lb below career-high OR 100.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 14:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetWright · Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 16lb below career-high OR 100.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 14:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite · 10 Bet · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
