Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 31 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP

Fullstop

Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 16/1

Still 20/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 28/1 (28.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:23, 31 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Kayf Dancer

Cartmel · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Quinn Bet

17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:23, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Summer Triangle

Epsom · 14:25 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright

19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +11.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:17, 31 Aug 2026

Hurdle

Lynxman

Cartmel · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

66/1 → 28/1

Still 66/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

22 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 27lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 80/1 (85.00)
SP: 101.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:17, 31 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Passengerontheship

Cartmel · 16:55 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Cartmel. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:08, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Our Absent Friends

Ripon · 16:10 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 75.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:08, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Flying Fortress

Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:53, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Gordon Bennett

Roscommon · 17:25 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 25/1 (27.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:53, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Fratas

Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +13.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:32, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Highbury See See

Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 8/1

Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:23, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Sioux Moon

Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:13, 31 Aug 2026

Hurdle

Wicksey

Cartmel · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

6 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Risks

• Up 23lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/8 (2.56)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:01, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dancing Tiger

Epsom · 15:35 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 21lb. Career-high OR 75.

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:58, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Full Volume

Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

17/2 → 7/1

Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:55, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Taradif

Southwell (AW) · 16:25 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright

19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Harry Who

Ripon · 13:55 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:31, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

H Key Lails

Epsom · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+163% better than SP · +7.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:22, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dicko The Legend

Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook

19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:22, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bajan Bandit

Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Miss Romagna

Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:13, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Zoffman

Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:07, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Rogers Dream

Ripon · 16:45 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

10 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:04, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Shambata

Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:01, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Crooked Path

Epsom · 15:35 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:01, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Cosmic Mystery

Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Dragon Bet

18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 4.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:42, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Margorie

Chepstow · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 31 Aug 2026

Hurdle

Vietnorm

Cartmel · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

1/1 → 5/6

Still 1/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook

7 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted

Risks

• Up 10lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished RO
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +7.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:36, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Wunderschon

Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

33/1 → 18/1

Still 33/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · BetWright · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 66/1 (70.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:33, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rusheen Boy

Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

33/1 → 18/1

25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Southwell (AW). 1/5 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

La Campanella

Roscommon · 17:25 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:21, 31 Aug 2026

FlatListed

Napa

Ripon · 15:05 · 7 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · Quinn Bet

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 31 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

L B Double U

Epsom · 14:25 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Surgeon Commander

Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 10/3

14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 60.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Tiberio Force

Ripon · 17:20 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/1 → 8/1

Still 9/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Star Sports · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Ripon. 1/5 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Oj Lifestyle

Epsom · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 31 Aug 2026

Flat

Captain Bruce

Ripon · 17:20 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

28/1 → 18/1

Still 28/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 151.00
Beat SP: No
-81% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Fantasy Obsessor

Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sir Trancealot

Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

28/1 → 14/1

Still 28/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 10lb. 1lb below career-high OR 59.

RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+93% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Logi Bear

Epsom · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Smarkets

8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 31 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Soames Forsyte

Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

26 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

• Southwell (AW). 1/8 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 31 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

Browse all receipts