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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Book Of Life
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.65)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Flying Fletcher
Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 10/3
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Newcastle (AW). 1/12 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Harry The Rogue
Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 5/1
25 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Secret Rival
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 62.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Liveadream
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mercurius Power
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +7.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Blakefell
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
22 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +15.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Starsong
Bath · 14:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +18.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ravenscraig Castle
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Abersoch
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lady Delila
Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Galactic Glow
Bath · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Call Time
Bath · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+84% better than SP · +18.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fram Castle
Bath · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
The Feminine Urge
Bath · 14:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 15lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Electric Bass
Bath · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+59% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Whosethebestboy
Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 11/1
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Havana Prince
Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 9/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Newcastle (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 76.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Up The Anti
Bath · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 9/2
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Heathers Feather
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
River Jordan
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Jackie Brown
Bath · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Giselles Defence
Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Le Drakkar
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mythical Bird
Bath · 17:02 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Phil's Dream
Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 54.
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:40, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
She's A Gift
Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:04, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Booziebrunch
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +12.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:01, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Turpin
Brighton · 18:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:55, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
Rb Yas Sir (A)
Lingfield (AW) · 17:55 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/9 → 4/11
Still 4/9 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/9 (1.44)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:46, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Java Wood
Gowran Park · 17:00 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 1lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:58, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bundle Of Interest
Gowran Park · 17:00 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:58, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Clipsham Noble
Brighton · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:49, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
La Trinite
Brighton · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:46, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sterling Fortune
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:55 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 70.
• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:46, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Survivor's Code
Gowran Park · 16:30 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 22/1
24 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Gowran Park. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:25, 1 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Norfolk Blue
Brighton · 16:36 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/6 → 4/7
4 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/7 (1.56)
SP: 1.36
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:13, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Crosshaven
Gowran Park · 16:30 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 50/1 (50.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:10, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
Mobaasher
Lingfield (AW) · 17:55 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Star Strewn
Gowran Park · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
50/1 → 28/1
23 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 7lb below career-high OR 83.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:15, 1 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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