Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8577 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatMAIDEN

Annie Batt

Navan · 16:07 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power

12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+66% better than SP · +16.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Onslaught

Hamilton · 18:20 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dubai Venture

Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Midnite · 10 Bet · Smarkets

17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

I Was Thinking

Bath · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rbflying

Hamilton · 18:20 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

33/1 → 18/1

Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+79% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Morehampton

Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Walk On Walk On

Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

11 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Invincible Ruby

Hamilton · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 2 Sept 2026

Flat

I Am Royal

Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/1 → 10/1

Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Defence Missile

Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Newcastle (AW). 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Muddy Nora

Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: No
-44% better than SP · -1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 2 Sept 2026

Flat

Farasan

Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/4 → 6/4

Still 7/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

5 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/8 (2.84)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -6.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 2 Sept 2026

Flat

Sierra Belle

Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Matchbook · Smarkets

11 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Elusive Path

Navan · 17:40 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Iris Dancer

Hamilton · 17:20 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.

• Hamilton. 4/16 at this course.

Risks

• Up 11lb. 8lb below career-high OR 72.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Fairylike

Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet

12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 15
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-36% better than SP · -10.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Penelope's Sister

Hamilton · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Perseus Way

Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.

• Hamilton. 2/2 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Men Of Honour

Hamilton · 17:20 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Valentine Catcher

Hamilton · 17:20 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Midnite · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+111% better than SP · +11.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Symbol Of Hope

Bath · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Egotistical

Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright

11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Socratea

Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Great Mover

Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 8/1

Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +6.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Timurshah

Navan · 17:08 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +3.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Beach Barbie

Navan · 16:38 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 11/1

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 15
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-48% better than SP · -4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thompson Gunner

Navan · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Barleybrown

Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets

14 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Emiza

Navan · 17:40 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chou Chou

Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Love You More

Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 6/1

25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ellie's de Vega

Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power

15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +7.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Le Drakkar

Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mythical Bird

Bath · 17:02 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Giselles Defence

Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jackie Brown

Bath · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 10/3

Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted

Why it rates

• Bath. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Electric Bass

Bath · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 9/1

Still 10/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power

20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+59% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Havana Prince

Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 9/2

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

• Newcastle (AW). 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 76.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lady Delila

Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 11/2

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -4.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mercurius Power

Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +7.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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