FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 62.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026