HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 22 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7606 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Goyard
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Quirke On Parole
Beverley · 13:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
News
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Overbudget
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cliff Danger
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Matchbook · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Romance
Listowel · 16:07 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Oklahoma
Listowel · 16:07 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/4 (2.80)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +14.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Goal Exceeded
Listowel · 16:41 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Mercurial
Listowel · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-45% better than SP · -8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Dragon Of Malta
Listowel · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Listowel. 3/4 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 9lb below career-high OR 82.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Storm Point
Southwell (AW) · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
James Henry
Listowel · 14:22 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetWright · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Orfilia
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-58% better than SP · -11.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Snipe
Warwick · 15:40 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Talis Evolvere
Southwell (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatListed
Iron Fist
Listowel · 15:32 · 11 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Ballylicky Bay
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Fever Dream
Warwick · 15:40 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
23 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Warwick. 1/1 at this course.
• First run after wind surgery.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Atreides
Fontwell · 15:57 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Coral · Bet365 · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Fontwell. 1/6 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Wilcox Bridge
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Lermoos Legend
Fontwell · 14:47 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
21 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Fontwell. 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Passengerontheship
Warwick · 13:55 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +11.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
King of The Story
Warwick · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Warwick. 1/3 at this course.
• First-time tp.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Under The Radar
Beverley · 15:50 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetTom · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 18lb below career-high OR 78.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Lake Lugano
Listowel · 13:47 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-48% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
La La Lucrative
Listowel · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Listowel. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+122% better than SP · +12.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Winston's Warrior
Southwell (AW) · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Prince de Juilley
Warwick · 16:48 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Kiwi de Cotte
Warwick · 13:55 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/10 (2.12)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
American State
Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 4lb below career-high OR 73.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:06, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
C'Est Lui
Wolverhampton (AW) · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:48, 21 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Whiteley Way
Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
7 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:27, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Violet Goldsmith
Leicester · 17:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 60.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:27, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Fiefdom
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 13 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · LiveScore Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:16, 21 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Farandaway
Hamilton · 16:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:13, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Joyous Heart
Fairyhouse · 16:25 · 17 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:55, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Almeiyda
Fairyhouse · 16:25 · 17 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 7/1
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:46, 21 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Seed Ya Later
Leicester · 14:31 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 5/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:28, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Act of Violence
Leicester · 16:12 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.65)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +12.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:52, 21 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Handani
Listowel · 16:05 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:49, 21 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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