At 07:30 on 22 September 2026, 9 bookmakers cut Kiwi de Cotte from 10/11 to 4/5 in the 13:55 at Warwick. At the time of the alert, 11/10 was still available at Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 2.62, making the alert price -19% better than SP, or -9.0 probability points. It finished 3 of 3, beaten 5.25 lengths.
🔵 TOP Chase HANDICAP
Warwick · 13:55 · 3 runners · Handicap
Still 10/11 at 2 firms when alerted
9 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/10 (2.12)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -9.0 probability points
Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:30 on 22 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
9 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
11/10 at Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 2.62 · Beat SP: No
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
