American State · Wolverhampton (AW) 19:12

Published 21 September 2026 · Updated 21 September 2026 · HorseWhale

At 19:06 on 21 September 2026, 20 bookmakers cut American State from 4/1 to 7/2 for the 19:12 at Wolverhampton (AW). When the move was recorded, Unibet, Matchbook, Smarkets, BetTom and Hollywood Bets still showed 4/1. This alert fired on a final pre-off move, with at least one book still at the old price when it went out.

Graded receipt

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

American State

Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:12 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/5 at this course.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 4lb below career-high OR 73.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Fired 19:06, 21 Sept 2026

What this record shows

This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.

Alert recorded

19:06 on 21 September 2026

Horse and race

American State · Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:12

Observed move

4/1 → 7/2

Qualifying bookmaker movement

20 bookmakers had cut when alerted

Earlier price still recorded

4/1 at Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

Context at the time

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/5 at this course.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 4lb below career-high OR 73.

Outcome and grade

LOST · SP: 5.00 · Beat SP: Yes

HorseWhale history

View this horse’s HorseWhale record

A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.

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Alerts arrive as the panel moves, any time from 07:00 to 22:00 UK. Most cluster in the morning as money shows. This alert reached Telegram in the minutes before the off, same as any other alert. Get free alerts on Telegram