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Southwell (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Southwell (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 17 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
227
alerts
72%
beat SP
+3.3
avg probability points vs SP
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
No Knee Never
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 1/10 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Sailor's Return
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Hvar
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Son Of Light
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Glitter Code
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 4lb below career-high OR 62.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-49% better than SP · -11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Phoenix Beach
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Dojin
Southwell (AW) · 17:25 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
4 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 86.
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Willolarupi
Southwell (AW) · 16:50 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 8lb below career-high OR 72.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Cool King
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+136% better than SP · +21.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 17 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kirkdale
Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:13, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Enola Grey
Southwell (AW) · 18:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:34, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Luminare
Southwell (AW) · 18:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:34, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chantelle
Southwell (AW) · 18:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:33, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Al Maslool
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:24, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Atomik
Southwell (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Korbut
Southwell (AW) · 19:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet
16 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 74.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Modern Times
Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Virgin Bet · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Franschhoek
Southwell (AW) · 19:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Piscean Star
Southwell (AW) · 19:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Great Mates
Southwell (AW) · 18:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chale Chalo
Southwell (AW) · 19:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Roker Roar
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Much
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
85/40 → 7/4
6 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/4 (2.69)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Diligent Resdev
Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gwen Tennyson
Southwell (AW) · 16:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
18 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Star Chorus
Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 3/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mr Moonshine
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +9.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Borjina
Southwell (AW) · 18:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Startling
Southwell (AW) · 16:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/4 (2.26)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Castlemont
Southwell (AW) · 18:10 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/15 → 2/5
Still 8/15 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/2 (1.50)
SP: 1.33
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Elyam
Southwell (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+148% better than SP · +25.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rock Opera
Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kaleido
Southwell (AW) · 19:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lieutenant Kije
Southwell (AW) · 19:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+135% better than SP · +14.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Papa Cocktail
Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Walking On Stars
Southwell (AW) · 18:10 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 7Bet · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Invincible Crown
Southwell (AW) · 16:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
The Third Star
Southwell (AW) · 18:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 13/8
Still 2/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kalamunda
Southwell (AW) · 19:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. 5lb below career-high OR 85.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Grand Pier
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 3 Sept 2026
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