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Southwell (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Southwell (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 22 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
227
alerts
72%
beat SP
+3.3
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Overbudget
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cliff Danger
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Matchbook · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Storm Point
Southwell (AW) · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Orfilia
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-58% better than SP · -11.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Talis Evolvere
Southwell (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Winston's Warrior
Southwell (AW) · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Wilcox Bridge
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Beach Partee
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 7/1
Still 15/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · William Hill · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 66.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:48, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Peaberry
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:18, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
New York Minute
Southwell (AW) · 17:25 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Southwell (AW). 2/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:24, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Dontworryaboutme
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Don't Stop Movin
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:27, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Power of Prayer
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 22lb. 2lb below career-high OR 54.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Mimime
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Level Look
Southwell (AW) · 17:25 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/9 → 4/11
Still 4/9 at 6 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/2 (1.50)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Havin A Flyer
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Angel of Heaven
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sable Island
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dream Illusion
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 5/1
Still 15/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 2/8 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Age of Baroque
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ernie's Valentine
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 10lb below career-high OR 73.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+136% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Otis Bay
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Stoney Wood
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Gladiadora
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Zarinca
Southwell (AW) · 16:50 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Golspie
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 6/4
Still 15/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 28lb. 9lb below career-high OR 69.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cool Molly
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
One For Harvey
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Coral · Bet365 · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Roi de Coeur
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 6 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Bullrider
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Supremacy
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sandy Craic
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Indefensible
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Spec of Light
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 21lb. 16lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Wrist Art
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 15lb. 13lb below career-high OR 63.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 17 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Crowned
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +11.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 17 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Harry Who
Southwell (AW) · 16:20 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Storm Force Ten
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Coral · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
13 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 38% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/4 (2.48)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -15.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 17 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Aspull
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 17 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Royal County Glory
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
5 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 17 Sept 2026
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