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Southwell (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Southwell (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 3 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
227
alerts
72%
beat SP
+3.3
avg probability points vs SP
Flat
Black Orchid
Southwell (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/7 → 2/9
Still 2/7 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
9 firms had already cut to 2/9 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/7 (1.29)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -17.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dorney Lake
Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hot And Cold
Southwell (AW) · 19:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Roi de Coeur
Southwell (AW) · 16:25 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 14 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:08, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Marianne Mozart
Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:59, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Volto di Medusa
Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:14, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Harlequin Bay
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+127% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:56, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sioux Moon
Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:13, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Taradif
Southwell (AW) · 16:25 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dicko The Legend
Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:22, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bajan Bandit
Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Cosmic Mystery
Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Dragon Bet
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:42, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rusheen Boy
Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Surgeon Commander
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 60.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fantasy Obsessor
Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Soames Forsyte
Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
26 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Special Breeze
Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
26 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Pace Attack
Southwell (AW) · 14:42 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kiani King
Southwell (AW) · 16:25 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Alkumatic Jo Jo
Southwell (AW) · 16:25 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Travel Agent
Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetMGM · William Hill
26 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Beautiful Effort
Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Quinn Bet
20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+140% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Classy Clarets
Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Le Rouge Chinois
Southwell (AW) · 14:07 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
BetWright · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Masai Angel
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 18/1
Still 28/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+127% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Everyoneknowsadave
Southwell (AW) · 14:42 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Thunderous Love
Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets
26 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Viking Barbie
Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
26 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Jesse Luc
Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
26 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Saxophonist
Southwell (AW) · 14:42 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Avatar Jet
Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Silky Lass
Southwell (AW) · 15:51 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hectic
Southwell (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
7Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Filly Eilish
Southwell (AW) · 15:51 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +6.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Portman Blue
Southwell (AW) · 15:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Power Strike
Southwell (AW) · 15:51 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
26 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Kokumi
Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sayidah Dubawi
Southwell (AW) · 13:32 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-45% better than SP · -7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ballybunion
Southwell (AW) · 16:25 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Based
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 31 Aug 2026
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