⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · William Hill · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 66.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 16:06 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Brighton. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 19:18 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 33/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 40/1 (42.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 18:11 · 11 runners · Handicap
26 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 28.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Brighton · 14:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · PricedUp Bet
26 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 8.72
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
