Salisbury

Every steam move alert fired at Salisbury, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 21 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

117

alerts

71%

beat SP

+4.1

avg probability points vs SP

FlatHANDICAP

Thiscouldbefun

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 11/4

Still 7/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Salisbury. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 15lb. 8lb below career-high OR 69.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kimeko Glory

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet

21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 15lb. 10lb below career-high OR 79.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Golden Island

Salisbury · 19:27 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Bet Victor · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite · 10 Bet · Betano

17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +7.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Court Of Stars

Salisbury · 18:57 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-30% better than SP · -2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Chan Noir

Salisbury · 17:57 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Matchbook

15 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Spirit Of Lyra

Salisbury · 17:57 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/5 → 4/6

Still 4/5 at 1 firm when alerted
Coral

10 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +8.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Basilette

Salisbury · 19:57 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Betano · Quinn Bet

12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

• Salisbury. 0/1 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Box Clever

Salisbury · 18:57 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright

15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Salisbury. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Darvel

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Smarkets

7 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Salisbury. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 12lb. 7lb below career-high OR 75.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +7.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thisonesforyou

Salisbury · 18:57 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill

11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Digger One

Salisbury · 19:57 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 6.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Thanks Harry

Salisbury · 17:57 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Zipwire

Salisbury · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 12/1

26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 21.00
BSP: 25.50
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:25, 13 Aug 2026

Flat

Indian Lights

Salisbury · 19:04 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet

23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 9.56
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:52, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thiscouldbefun

Salisbury · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

26 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 7.20
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:15, 13 Aug 2026

Flat

Flooding

Salisbury · 18:04 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/10 → 5/6

Still 11/10 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

4 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 2.00
BSP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:12, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kimeko Glory

Salisbury · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

19 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.62
BSP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +9.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:48, 13 Aug 2026

Flat

Reformation

Salisbury · 18:34 · 2 runners · Other

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · PricedUp Bet · Virgin Bet · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Betano · Dragon Bet · BresBet · BestOdds · 7Bet

12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
BSP: 3.60
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:54, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Counter Intuitive

Salisbury · 19:34 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:54, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sudbury Hill

Salisbury · 20:04 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano · CopyBet · 10 Bet

12 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 11.28
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Supplicate

Salisbury · 20:04 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 9/4

Still 11/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · CopyBet · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

20 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.38
BSP: 2.64
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +15.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Storm Point

Salisbury · 20:04 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 7/2

Still 9/2 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano · Dragon Bet · BresBet · BestOdds · 7Bet · BetTom · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)

Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Liveinthelight

Salisbury · 19:34 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

26 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 12.00
BSP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Amathus

Salisbury · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

26 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 25.09
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

On The Inlet

Salisbury · 20:04 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

40/1 → 20/1

Still 40/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

22 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 21.00
BSP: 25.41
Beat SP: Yes
+95% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 13 Aug 2026

Flat

Clarity

Salisbury · 19:04 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 6.60
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sydney Rock

Salisbury · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 17 firms when alerted
William Hill · Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · BetTom · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano · Dragon Bet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BresBet · BestOdds · 7Bet · Quinn Bet

7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.38
BSP: 2.95
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +19.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 13 Aug 2026

Flat

Tiora Time

Salisbury · 18:04 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

6/5 → 1/1

Still 6/5 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · PricedUp Bet

5 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/5 (2.20)
SP: 2.10
BSP: 2.24
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Decalogue

Salisbury · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · BestOdds

24 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 13 Aug 2026

Flat

Siena Storm

Salisbury · 19:04 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/6 → 4/7

Still 4/6 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365

4 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/6 (1.67)
SP: 1.40
BSP: 1.47
Beat SP: Yes
+19% better than SP · +11.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ruby Wedding

Salisbury · 19:34 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365

23 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 6.40
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Green Sky

Salisbury · 19:34 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill

23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.20
BSP: 2.28
Beat SP: Yes
+150% better than SP · +27.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Seven Sisters

Salisbury · 20:04 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill

15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 1.91
BSP: 2.04
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +21.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Eupator

Salisbury · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

26 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.50
BSP: 10.29
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:59, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mythical Bird

Salisbury · 17:00 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

26 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
BSP: 8.80
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:53, 12 Aug 2026

Flat

Remi Mae

Salisbury · 16:00 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

6/4 → 5/4

Still 6/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Star Sports · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

5 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.25
BSP: 2.66
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:35, 12 Aug 2026

FlatListed

Miss Scott

Salisbury · 16:30 · 7 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

Still 15/8 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano

4 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.62
BSP: 3.01
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:32, 12 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dr Strangelove

Salisbury · 15:00 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

26 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 8.20
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:56, 12 Aug 2026

FlatListed

On Message

Salisbury · 16:30 · 7 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 15.00
BSP: 17.90
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:59, 12 Aug 2026

Flat

Kodicall

Salisbury · 16:00 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

14/1 → 12/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365

21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 29.00
BSP: 55.00
Beat SP: No
-48% better than SP · -3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:20, 12 Aug 2026

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