Salisbury

Every steam move alert fired at Salisbury, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 3 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

117

alerts

71%

beat SP

+4.1

avg probability points vs SP

FlatHANDICAP

Electric Dreams

Salisbury · 17:24 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 6/1

Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Miss Faithfull

Salisbury · 15:03 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Shipbourne

Salisbury · 17:24 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 10/3

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · 10 Bet · Betano · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets

13 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 3 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Ellavara

Salisbury · 15:39 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/1 → 9/1

Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cindy Lou Who

Salisbury · 16:49 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thiscouldbefun

Salisbury · 13:53 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Salisbury. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 3 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Miss Miniver

Salisbury · 15:39 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/4 → 6/4

Still 7/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · 10 Bet · BetWright · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

8 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +12.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Rock In Japan

Salisbury · 14:28 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Night Star

Salisbury · 14:28 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/4 → 11/10

Still 5/4 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

16 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/8 (2.36)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +10.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Lauriger

Salisbury · 14:28 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Prince Rasam

Salisbury · 13:53 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Risks

• Good To Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/1 on Good To Soft.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Ahmadi

Salisbury · 15:03 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/4 → 9/4

Still 11/4 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet

17 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 3 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Learning

Salisbury · 15:39 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets

19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Betty Clover

Salisbury · 16:49 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 7/1

24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Albaydaa

Salisbury · 16:49 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

7 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 89.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -4.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Virtue Patience

Salisbury · 13:53 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Midnite

15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Mr Badger

Salisbury · 15:03 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 3 Sept 2026

FlatGroup 3

Impulsive Spirit

Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 22/1 (24.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Zgharta

Salisbury · 17:55 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

Risks

• Up 9lb. 6lb below career-high OR 89.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 3 Sept 2026

FlatGroup 3

Miss Kodi

Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +13.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

My Boy

Salisbury · 14:28 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/4 → 9/4

Still 11/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026

Flat

Rose Moon

Salisbury · 15:03 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +8.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Point Of Contact

Salisbury · 17:24 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Principality

Salisbury · 17:24 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 9/2

23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 93.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Moab

Salisbury · 19:57 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 19:52, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Masterdream

Salisbury · 19:57 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 19:52, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Crimson Sunset

Salisbury · 18:57 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 10/1

Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Midnite

16 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 18:30, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Inca Heights

Salisbury · 18:27 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · Matchbook · Midnite

13 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:23, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Herstmonceux

Salisbury · 19:27 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

40/1 → 28/1

Still 40/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

21 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 100/1 (100.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+144% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:05, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Stopherandgo

Salisbury · 19:27 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

100/1 → 33/1

Still 100/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 250/1 (300.00)
SP: 81.00
Beat SP: Yes
+270% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:50, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Christmas Is Comin

Salisbury · 17:57 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

50/1 → 25/1

Still 50/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 100/1 (110.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: Yes
+116% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:03, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Optimatum

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetWright · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 21lb. 6lb below career-high OR 71.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:29, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Footstepinthewoods

Salisbury · 18:57 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 18 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet

9 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +8.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:44, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

A Daughters Love

Salisbury · 19:57 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · BresBet · Matchbook

17 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 64.

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Coyy

Salisbury · 18:27 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:59, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Prodigal Son

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 16lb. 6lb below career-high OR 71.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:59, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bintola

Salisbury · 18:27 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright

20 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:56, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kohana Nation

Salisbury · 18:27 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet

20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:56, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Zen Diva

Salisbury · 18:27 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright

19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

• Salisbury. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:56, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Marsh Benham

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 21lb. 2lb below career-high OR 72.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 21 Aug 2026

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