Musselburgh

Every steam move alert fired at Musselburgh, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 24 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

alerts

75%

beat SP

+3.4

avg probability points vs SP

FlatHANDICAP

Wee Mary

Musselburgh · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet

20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Musselburgh. 1/5 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:40, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Runninsonofagun

Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet

9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:37, 24 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Calef

Musselburgh · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/2 → 7/2

Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +8.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Falcon Nine

Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Musselburgh. 1/5 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Princess Niyla

Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 24 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

The Mean Fiddler

Musselburgh · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/9 → 4/11

4 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/11 (1.36)
SP: 1.33
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Motawaared

Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ski Angel

Musselburgh · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Musselburgh. 1/8 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Forest Berry

Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/6 → 8/11

19 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 13lb. 1lb below career-high OR 66.

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/11 (1.72)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mayor Of Maghera

Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 11/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Musselburgh. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

The Resdev Scholar

Musselburgh · 15:45 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

• Musselburgh. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Miners Gamble

Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power

17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Willow Wood

Musselburgh · 16:24 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

27 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.50
BSP: 7.27
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:17, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Monhammer

Musselburgh · 16:54 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

7 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.50
BSP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:05, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Woohoo

Musselburgh · 15:50 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 2/1

14 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.25
BSP: 3.52
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:41, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Simple Star

Musselburgh · 16:24 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

33/1 → 28/1

Still 33/1 at 15 firms when alerted
7Bet · Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports · Quinn Bet

9 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 33/1 (36.00)
SP: 23.00
BSP: 36.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:20, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jer Batt

Musselburgh · 15:50 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetTom · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet

14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 6.20
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:11, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ashen

Musselburgh · 15:20 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 7/1

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes

22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 11.50
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jonny Concrete

Musselburgh · 15:20 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet · Star Sports · Midnite · 10 Bet

6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 5.04
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +6.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:45, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Tiva

Musselburgh · 15:50 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

30 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:12, 7 Aug 2026

Flat

My Mate Fitz

Musselburgh · 14:20 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

66/1 → 50/1

Still 66/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Betfred · Unibet · BetTom · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

12 firms had already cut to 50/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 66/1 (70.00)
SP: 51.00
BSP: 80.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:03, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Keep Me Stable

Musselburgh · 16:54 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet · Star Sports · Midnite · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 6.80
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:54, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Falcon Nine

Musselburgh · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 2/1

30 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.75
BSP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:33, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Augustus Gloop

Musselburgh · 15:20 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 14/1

Still 16/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · Star Sports

23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 23.00
BSP: 36.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:36, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Vixey

Musselburgh · 15:20 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 14/1

Still 16/1 at 9 firms when alerted
William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · Star Sports

21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 21.45
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:33, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Toy Soldier

Musselburgh · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 10/1

Still 11/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports · Midnite · 10 Bet

12 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 9.50
BSP: 10.62
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:24, 7 Aug 2026

Flat

Sod Hall Lane

Musselburgh · 14:20 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

14/1 → 12/1

Still 14/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Virgin Bet · Octobet · Star Sports · Midnite · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 21.00
BSP: 28.67
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:18, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Native Honey

Musselburgh · 15:20 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 16/1

Still 18/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet · Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · CopyBet · Star Sports

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 29.00
BSP: 35.51
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:21, 7 Aug 2026

Flat

Minster Man

Musselburgh · 14:20 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/2 → 2/1

29 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.90
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Liberty Looming

Musselburgh · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

100/1 → 66/1

Still 100/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports

18 firms had already cut to 66/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 100/1 (101.00)
SP: 29.00
BSP: 31.23
Beat SP: Yes
+248% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Approaching Dawn

Musselburgh · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Octobet · BetTom · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy

27 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 12.00
BSP: 13.67
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 7 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sure And Stedfast

Musselburgh · 16:24 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 13/2

29 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 9.40
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:07, 7 Aug 2026

Alerts land in Telegram first. Get free alerts on Telegram