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Musselburgh

Every steam move alert fired at Musselburgh, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 25 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
88
alerts
75%
beat SP
+3.4
avg probability points vs SP
FlatMAIDEN
Gordons Girl
Musselburgh · 14:15 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Balmoral Boy
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Coconut Bay
Musselburgh · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Trucial Pearl
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Novak
Musselburgh · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mardy Bum
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bea Kindly
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
50/1 → 25/1
Still 50/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 25 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Inns And Out
Musselburgh · 14:15 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Vince Le Prince
Musselburgh · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Stay On Tab
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Edmond Halley
Musselburgh · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +9.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Needin' U
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 64.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 25 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Vegasmile
Musselburgh · 14:15 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
Still 1/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom
12 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +16.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 25 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sweet Iris
Musselburgh · 14:15 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Amber Hamur
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Florida Dreams
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Trojan Sun
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Musselburgh. 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 4lb below career-high OR 77.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
South Parade
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/4 (2.70)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fast Fred
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lauralynn
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 66.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.72)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Beerwah
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Jojo Rabbit
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 25 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Approaching Dawn
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/6 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:20, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Jewel Maker
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:17, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Titainium
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:14, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Misemerald
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Dragon Bet · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:53, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hostelry
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:50, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lady Bouquet
Musselburgh · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:38, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bonjour Belle
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:17, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Two Commanders
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Betfred · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:08, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Elizabeth Bay
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 17lb below career-high OR 72.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:47, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Thats My Boy Luke
Musselburgh · 16:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:44, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Viper
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:04, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Velvet Rhythm
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:01, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gwen Tennyson
Musselburgh · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 14/1
Still 16/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:13, 24 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
By Jove Grace
Musselburgh · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 22/1 (24.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:22, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Blakefell
Musselburgh · 15:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:10, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Le Grand Etoile
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Star Sports
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+138% better than SP · +7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:07, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
The Resdev Rocket
Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:04, 24 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Theme Park
Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:52, 24 Aug 2026
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