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Hamilton

Every steam move alert fired at Hamilton, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
168
alerts
70%
beat SP
+3.1
avg probability points vs SP
FlatHANDICAP
Harley
Hamilton · 18:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:22, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kindly Queen
Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
80/1 → 40/1
Still 80/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 40/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 125/1 (120.00)
SP: 81.00
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Aurelune
Hamilton · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Royal Strike
Hamilton · 16:50 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · BresBet · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +17.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mae Amor
Hamilton · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Virgin Bet
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Hamilton. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:58, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mimi's Magic
Hamilton · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 18/1
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:52, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Spirit Of Nature
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 20/1
Still 40/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:07, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ebony Maw
Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Annie Edson Taylor
Hamilton · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
26 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Clocker
Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 12 firms when alerted
BetMGM · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +6.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:40, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dandy's Angel
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tee Aitch Aye
Hamilton · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:58, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Battle Fever
Hamilton · 18:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/5 → 21/20
Still 6/5 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
4 firms had already cut to 21/20 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/5 (2.22)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sod Hall Lane
Hamilton · 16:50 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/6 → 4/6
Still 5/6 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -10.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ouro Preto
Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 11/1
Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 19lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
White Umbrella
Hamilton · 17:20 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Annandale
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 11/4
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Vampire Slayer
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Star Sports · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Uncle Liam
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Star Sports · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/7 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +12.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Falaise Blanc
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Star Sports · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sophiesticate
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Onslaught
Hamilton · 18:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rbflying
Hamilton · 18:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+79% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dubai Venture
Hamilton · 19:50 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Midnite · 10 Bet · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Invincible Ruby
Hamilton · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Iris Dancer
Hamilton · 17:20 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
• Hamilton. 4/16 at this course.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 8lb below career-high OR 72.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Penelope's Sister
Hamilton · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Men Of Honour
Hamilton · 17:20 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Perseus Way
Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.
• Hamilton. 2/2 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Valentine Catcher
Hamilton · 17:20 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Midnite · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+111% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Aighear
Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
King Of The Jungle
Hamilton · 20:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetWright · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 20:07, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dandy Magic
Hamilton · 19:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 7/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 5lb below career-high OR 74.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:40, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Iris Dancer
Hamilton · 19:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 16/1
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 4/15 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:45, 21 Aug 2026
Flat
Flagbearer
Hamilton · 17:40 · 3 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:26, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Miraculous
Hamilton · 19:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
14 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:09, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Thankfully
Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 82.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:05, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Saxon Grace
Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Winged Messenger
Hamilton · 19:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports
13 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Krissy
Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 25/1
22 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:59, 21 Aug 2026
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