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Hamilton

Every steam move alert fired at Hamilton, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 21 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
168
alerts
70%
beat SP
+3.1
avg probability points vs SP
Flat
Nakassama
Hamilton · 17:40 · 3 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:02, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Elsass
Hamilton · 18:15 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
Still 25/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+162% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Stirrup Cup
Hamilton · 19:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/6 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:44, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Second Fiddle
Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/6 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:29, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Advertised
Hamilton · 18:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 3lb below career-high OR 94.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Evanesco
Hamilton · 18:15 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/2
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Foxy Night
Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 78.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 21 Aug 2026
Flat
Lord d'Or
Hamilton · 17:40 · 3 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/13 → 8/15
Still 8/13 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
4 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 8/13 (1.62)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Jordan Electrics
Hamilton · 18:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Midnite · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Hamilton. 0/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 16lb below career-high OR 102.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Eternal Sunshine
Hamilton · 18:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Hamilton. 0/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 5lb below career-high OR 89.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tiernan
Hamilton · 18:15 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Belsito
Hamilton · 19:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 3/6 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Canon's House
Hamilton · 18:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Hamilton. 0/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 6lb below career-high OR 90.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Doon The Glen
Hamilton · 20:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 2/6 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Jannas Journey
Hamilton · 19:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
50/1 → 25/1
24 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 0/5 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+206% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Vantheman
Hamilton · 18:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Hamilton. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Polygram
Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · BetTom · BetWright · 10 Bet
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 0/2 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Yabher
Hamilton · 18:15 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 16 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 4lb below career-high OR 104.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hi Lord
Hamilton · 20:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lord Bertie
Hamilton · 19:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Salamanca City
Hamilton · 18:15 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Montezuma
Hamilton · 19:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 0/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ashen
Hamilton · 19:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · BetTom · Matchbook · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 0/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wild Dahlia
Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +6.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Impressor
Hamilton · 20:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tanjen
Hamilton · 20:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+81% better than SP · +18.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
City Captain
Hamilton · 19:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 0/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 78.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wreck It Ryley
Hamilton · 19:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Harb
Hamilton · 20:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Midnite · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 0/4 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ashnak
Hamilton · 18:15 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
20 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fairydale
Hamilton · 20:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/2
26 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.45
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 20:27, 11 Aug 2026
Flat
Baldetti
Hamilton · 18:00 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet
10 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.35
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:32, 11 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Storm On Jura
Hamilton · 20:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 21.00
BSP: 24.64
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:29, 11 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Trilby
Hamilton · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 28.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:26, 11 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
South Shore Island
Hamilton · 17:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 7.25
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:17, 11 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Turtle Reef
Hamilton · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 12.50
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:07, 11 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
U Sure Do
Hamilton · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · PricedUp Bet
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.50
BSP: 8.60
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:04, 11 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Spoken Truth
Hamilton · 19:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.14
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:03, 11 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Real Trouper
Hamilton · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 19.00
BSP: 27.00
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:21, 11 Aug 2026
Flat
Sea Mirage
Hamilton · 18:00 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.00
BSP: 9.25
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 11 Aug 2026
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