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Epsom

Every steam move alert fired at Epsom, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 31 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
62
alerts
76%
beat SP
+3.3
avg probability points vs SP
FlatMAIDEN
Angel Of Desire
Epsom · 14:25 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fresh Fade
Epsom · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 22/1
25 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Double Red
Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Em Four
Epsom · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Silver Trumpet
Epsom · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Super Hit
Epsom · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Trio
Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Epsom. 2/3 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
French Affair
Epsom · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · BresBet
10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Perfect Scoundrel
Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Epsom. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Morte Point
Epsom · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 3lb below career-high OR 93.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Edward Sexton
Epsom · 15:35 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 13lb. 43lb below career-high OR 113.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dapper Guest
Epsom · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sail On Sailor
Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Arthur's Realm
Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Artemis Star
Epsom · 14:25 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Aurora Majesty
Epsom · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kisskodi
Epsom · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetTom · Betano · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rhoscolyn
Epsom · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 15 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. 16lb below career-high OR 100.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Twirler
Epsom · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
24 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Uniter
Epsom · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chantelle
Epsom · 17:13 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Bet Victor · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · PricedUp Bet · Midnite · 10 Bet
14 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 1.91
BSP: 2.12
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +12.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:01, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wise And Wonderful
Epsom · 14:48 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet
6 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.75
BSP: 2.78
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:13, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Celtic Spirit
Epsom · 16:38 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 10.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:16, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Greek Symphony
Epsom · 14:48 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · talkSPORT BET · Betano
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.12
BSP: 3.40
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:55, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Private Project
Epsom · 16:38 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
26 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 20/1 (22.00)
SP: 23.00
BSP: 29.30
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:19, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Modern Times
Epsom · 16:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 85/40
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet
20 firms had already cut to 85/40 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
BSP: 3.55
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:13, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sequel Star
Epsom · 14:48 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
26 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.20
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Pangbourne
Epsom · 16:38 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 12.50
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
King Of War
Epsom · 17:48 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 14/1
26 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.50
BSP: 11.50
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
A La Noche
Epsom · 17:48 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
26 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 5.40
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bincimbal
Epsom · 14:48 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · PricedUp Bet · BestOdds · 10 Bet
17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 14 Aug 2026
Flat
Diplomata
Epsom · 15:23 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/4
19 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.88
BSP: 3.45
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Play Me
Epsom · 17:48 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
BSP: 16.53
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 14 Aug 2026
Flat
Tansy Lane
Epsom · 15:23 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 4/7
Still 2/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds
19 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 1.62
BSP: 1.68
Beat SP: Yes
+101% better than SP · +31.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 14 Aug 2026
Flat
Secret Flite
Epsom · 15:23 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/2
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 11.00
BSP: 11.62
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 14 Aug 2026
Flat
Desert Symphony
Epsom · 15:23 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
40/1 → 16/1
Still 40/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 26.00
BSP: 40.48
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mrembo
Epsom · 16:38 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.30
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Spacewoman
Epsom · 17:48 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.52
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haveagobeau
Epsom · 16:38 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 9.05
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 14 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sir Garfield
Epsom · 16:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
25 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.50
BSP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:27, 14 Aug 2026
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