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Epsom

Every steam move alert fired at Epsom, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 10 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
62
alerts
76%
beat SP
+3.3
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Galaxy Star
Epsom · 15:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:28, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Charmaine
Epsom · 15:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:06, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Louis The Fifth
Epsom · 14:00 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:51, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Norcross Brow
Epsom · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 50% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Astabuen
Epsom · 14:00 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · Betano · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:33, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Cuban Lady
Epsom · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 3lb below career-high OR 77.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Beach Point
Epsom · 15:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Gordon Grey
Epsom · 15:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Mr Ubiquitous
Epsom · 17:27 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Blue Hill
Epsom · 16:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Betano
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 6.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Moonrunner
Epsom · 15:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Royal Bodyguard
Epsom · 16:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Give Hand
Epsom · 14:00 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Silver Trumpet
Epsom · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Euphonia
Epsom · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Crooked Path
Epsom · 15:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
13 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dandy Khan
Epsom · 17:27 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Arbaawy
Epsom · 16:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Quinn Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 79.
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Shirakawa
Epsom · 16:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +11.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Lots Road
Epsom · 14:00 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Uppercase
Epsom · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Epsom. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 77.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dijon Gone
Epsom · 16:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Mayaada
Epsom · 16:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +12.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Island Bear
Epsom · 16:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Carnival Day
Epsom · 15:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
18 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Oj Lifestyle
Epsom · 17:27 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +6.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Patrol
Epsom · 15:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 9/4
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Wild Dahlia
Epsom · 16:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Amused
Epsom · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · Betano · Midnite · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:29, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Almekarem
Epsom · 16:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. 1lb below career-high OR 81.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:47, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Naval Light
Epsom · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:56, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Play Me
Epsom · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Epsom. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:50, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Summer Triangle
Epsom · 14:25 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +11.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:17, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dancing Tiger
Epsom · 15:35 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 21lb. Career-high OR 75.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:58, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
H Key Lails
Epsom · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+163% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:22, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Crooked Path
Epsom · 15:35 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:01, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
L B Double U
Epsom · 14:25 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Oj Lifestyle
Epsom · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Logi Bear
Epsom · 13:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Divine Knight
Epsom · 15:35 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 28lb. 7lb below career-high OR 88.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 31 Aug 2026
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