HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 22 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7566 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Merry
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 79.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Glyndwr
Listowel · 16:41 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Guinness Lad
Fontwell · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 22lb. Career-high OR 78.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Go Athletico
Listowel · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Moving Shadow
Southwell (AW) · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Tilehurst
Fontwell · 14:12 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Galileo Noir
Listowel · 16:41 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Black Missile
Beverley · 15:50 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · BetWright · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Morehampton
Listowel · 16:41 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Highbury See See
Listowel · 16:41 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Midnight Pass
Fontwell · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 6lb below career-high OR 97.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Bullet
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetTom · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Green Kite
Listowel · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 7/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
19 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Pipers Cross
Warwick · 16:48 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleMAIDEN
Janteloven
Fontwell · 15:22 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-54% better than SP · -4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hanney Girl
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-54% better than SP · -9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Bayraktar
Beverley · 14:05 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +14.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Afraj
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Ballinoulart
Warwick · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
American Land
Fontwell · 14:47 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• First run after wind surgery.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Sun Joy
Fontwell · 14:12 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Hawa Jumeirah
Fontwell · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Cisterna
Listowel · 14:22 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 8lb below career-high OR 66.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Yes Day
Fontwell · 16:32 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Obelix
Beverley · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fabled Spirit
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 22 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Folkene
Beverley · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Lucky In Taipan
Fontwell · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Vantage Code
Listowel · 17:16 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 15lb. 1lb below career-high OR 84.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Golden Knight
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 89.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Cappa Lass
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time hp.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Balkardy
Fontwell · 16:32 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +6.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Tryfan
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Winston's Oath
Fontwell · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Risks
• Up 17lb. 12lb below career-high OR 90.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Guts And Glory
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 11/8
Still 15/8 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 19lb. 2lb below career-high OR 103.
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +21.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Blackwater Lilly
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 11lb. 10lb below career-high OR 104.
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Snaafy
Beverley · 17:35 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 11/1
Still 12/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Paddy Power
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 22 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Miracles Do Happen
Warwick · 16:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 22 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Ollierob
Fontwell · 15:22 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
19 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Illy's Roo
Southwell (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 22 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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