At 09:24 on 22 September 2026, 15 bookmakers cut Guinness Lad from 15/2 to 13/2 in the 17:07 at Fontwell. At the time of the alert, 15/2 was still available at Bet365, Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 6.00, making the alert price +60% better than SP, or +6.3 probability points.
🟡 MEDIUM Hurdle HANDICAP
Fontwell · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
15 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 22lb. Career-high OR 78.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Fired 09:24, 22 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
09:24 on 22 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
15 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
15/2 at Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Risks
• Up 22lb. Career-high OR 78.
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 6.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
