Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 19 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8954 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

HurdleMAIDEN
Worcester · 18:03 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+166% better than SP · +14.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 17:58 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+145% better than SP · +15.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · BetWright · Betano · talkSPORT BET
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 19 Aug 2026
Flat
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
22/1 → 18/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
26 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 28/1 (28.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+87% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sligo · 19:18 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 19:08 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
York · 16:10 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Betano · talkSPORT BET · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 19:08 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 16:55 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetWright · Quinn Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 19 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Worcester · 17:02 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 19:08 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 19 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Kempton (AW) · 17:25 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +8.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 19 Aug 2026
Flat
Carlisle · 14:38 · 3 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sligo · 18:48 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 19 Aug 2026
Flat
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+147% better than SP · +21.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
26 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Sligo · 18:17 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 19 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Worcester · 17:33 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
5 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Sligo · 18:17 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · BetTom · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 19 Aug 2026
Flat
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/2
26 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 19 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Worcester · 17:33 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sligo · 19:18 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sligo · 19:48 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+69% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 19 Aug 2026
Flat
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Betano · Midnite · talkSPORT BET · 10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 19 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 3
York · 14:25 · 10 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 19 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Worcester · 17:02 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/2
26 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.55)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 17:58 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
26 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
26 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 17/2 (9.45)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 19 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Kempton (AW) · 17:25 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Betano · Quinn Bet · talkSPORT BET · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 19 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Worcester · 18:38 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 20:08 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
York · 16:45 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 14/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 19 Aug 2026
Flat
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Ladbrokes · Betfred · Smarkets · Betano · talkSPORT BET · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Worcester · 19:08 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 21:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 19 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 19 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sligo · 19:48 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · William Hill · Betfred · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 19 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Browse all receipts