Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 20 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8896 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

ChaseHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
York · 17:20 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 20 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Lingfield (AW) · 14:45 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
12 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Leopardstown · 18:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 19:54 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · 10 Bet
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 20 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
20 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 20 Aug 2026
Chase
Killarney · 18:13 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 20 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 19:36 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 20 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Killarney · 17:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 20 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:36 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Bet365 · BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Betfair Sportsbook · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 20 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlat
Killarney · 20:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Leopardstown · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 20 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 20:06 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · 10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
York · 14:25 · 20 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 20 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGChaseHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 15:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:54 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 20 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGChaseHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 20 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Killarney · 18:45 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano · BresBet · Dragon Bet
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 14:00 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/8 → 7/4
Still 15/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
7 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (2.98)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +16.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Leopardstown · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · talkSPORT BET
8 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 20 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Leopardstown · 17:27 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+278% better than SP · +16.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 20 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Leopardstown · 19:30 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Coral · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 20 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:36 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · BresBet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 20 Aug 2026
Chase
Killarney · 18:13 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+167% better than SP · +16.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 20 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 1
York · 15:35 · 9 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 20 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Leopardstown · 19:30 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Unibet · Matchbook · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 20 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Leopardstown · 16:56 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/13 → 4/9
Still 8/13 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · BetWright · BresBet · Betano · talkSPORT BET · BetTom · Matchbook · Midnite · Dragon Bet
7 firms had already cut to 4/9 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/11 (1.73)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +13.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 20 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 19:06 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
9 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +11.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Newcastle (AW) · 18:54 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Newcastle (AW) · 18:54 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Newcastle (AW) · 19:24 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/5 → 1/7
Still 1/5 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
4 firms had already cut to 1/7 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/9 (1.22)
SP: 1.17
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 20 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Browse all receipts