Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 22 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8770 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Chester · 17:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 22 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 3
York · 13:50 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 17:08 · 27 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
22 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 22 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 2
Curragh · 14:50 · 5 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Bet Victor · BetWright · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom
9 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
Why it rates
• Curragh. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 22 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Curragh · 13:40 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 18/1
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 15:54 · 18 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 19:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 1lb below career-high OR 75.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 19:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
Still 33/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+209% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 20:00 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Redcar. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 15:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 22 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 2
Curragh · 15:25 · 6 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
York · 16:10 · 20 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• York. 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 22 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 1lb below career-high OR 103.
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:52 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Betfred · Star Sports · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
19 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+167% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 20:00 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Redcar · 16:18 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets · BetTom · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +12.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:15 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 10lb below career-high OR 145.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 17:04 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 1lb below career-high OR 80.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 15 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 86.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 5lb below career-high OR 86.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
York · 14:25 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 18:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 5lb below career-high OR 72.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +10.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 19:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 16:29 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetWright · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfair Sportsbook · Matchbook · Paddy Power
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 22 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 2
Curragh · 14:50 · 5 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Curragh. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 22 Aug 2026
FlatListed
Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 15:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatListed
Chester · 14:40 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Lingfield (AW) · 18:45 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatListed
York · 16:45 · 11 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 14:44 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 19:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BresBet · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Killarney · 17:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Killarney. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Curragh · 13:40 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 22/1
24 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 13:34 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 18:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 22 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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