Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 22 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8770 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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FlatGroup 3
York · 13:50 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:49, 22 Aug 2026
Chase
Killarney · 15:45 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 6/4
Still 2/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet
16 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:49, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
Permanent record · Fired 13:49, 22 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAPListed
Killarney · 16:55 · 10 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Killarney. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:39, 22 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 2
Curragh · 15:25 · 6 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Smarkets · Betano · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:27, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 14:44 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 13:34 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · Betano
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
66/1 → 28/1
23 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: No
-43% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 22 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Newton Abbot · 13:55 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
33/1 → 16/1
Still 33/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+116% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 22 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Newton Abbot · 13:55 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
66/1 → 22/1
Still 66/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · Quinn Bet
18 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 66/1 (67.00)
SP: 81.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 19:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:51, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
York · 17:20 · 20 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:51, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 17:08 · 27 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:33, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:52 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 14/1
Still 22/1 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 15lb below career-high OR 133.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:33, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:52 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 11/2
Still 8/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetMGM · Star Sports · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 22lb. 4lb below career-high OR 119.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+119% better than SP · +12.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:30, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:52 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 4/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:30, 22 Aug 2026
FlatListed
Newmarket (July) · 15:19 · 7 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:27, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Killarney · 15:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
Still 25/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 40/1 (42.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:21, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Killarney · 14:35 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:21, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 90.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 17:08 · 27 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
22 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:03, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chester · 17:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +8.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:57, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 15:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:57, 22 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 3
York · 13:50 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
50/1 → 28/1
25 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chester · 17:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 17:08 · 27 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Curragh. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 9lb below career-high OR 81.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:36, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 17:08 · 27 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 22 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:52 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +13.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:30, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Redcar. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 25/1
25 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 75.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 25/1 (25.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:24, 22 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 3
York · 13:50 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:21, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 19:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 19:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
6 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Lingfield (AW). 1/10 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 6lb below career-high OR 61.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 22 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAPListed
Killarney · 16:55 · 10 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 22 Aug 2026
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 13:34 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Bet Victor · Matchbook · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BresBet · Dragon Bet
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 22 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Lingfield (AW) · 18:45 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +19.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:06, 22 Aug 2026
Chase
Killarney · 15:45 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:06, 22 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 3
York · 13:50 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 3lb below career-high OR 120.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 22 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
York · 17:20 · 20 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 20/1 (22.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 22 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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