Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 24 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8770 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP

Mister Sandman

Brighton · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

25 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Liberate

Brighton · 16:00 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 24 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Rogue Imperial

Brighton · 15:00 · 5 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

13/8 → 11/8

Still 13/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets

6 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 24 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

I Am Royal

Brighton · 15:00 · 5 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Smarkets · BetTom · Matchbook

18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 24 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Princess Felicia

Ballinrobe · 18:30 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Midnite

4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +7.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 24 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Ronnie's Rascal

Ballinrobe · 18:00 · 12 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom

15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 24 Aug 2026

Flat

Sunday Girl

Windsor · 17:13 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/10 → 5/6

Still 11/10 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

5 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -12.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Koffee And Kale

Windsor · 19:18 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bohemian Breeze

Brighton · 16:00 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.

• Brighton. 2/7 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kondratiev Wave

Brighton · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Smarkets · BetTom · Matchbook

15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +7.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 24 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Roll Up Raymond

Brighton · 15:00 · 5 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+190% better than SP · +25.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Princess Niyla

Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

King David

Brighton · 16:30 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power

20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-47% better than SP · -5.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 24 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Joshua Chamberlain

Ballinrobe · 18:30 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+130% better than SP · +5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Percival

Windsor · 18:18 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Just Jump

Windsor · 19:48 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

• Windsor. 1/3 at this course.

Risks

• Up 7lb. 7lb below career-high OR 69.

RESULT
LOST · finished RR
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +16.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Nordic Glory

Brighton · 15:30 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite

18 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dark Sun

Brighton · 15:30 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Be An Angel

Brighton · 15:30 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+90% better than SP · +9.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cape Toronada

Windsor · 19:18 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright

12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 24 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

The Mean Fiddler

Musselburgh · 14:15 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/9 → 4/11

4 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/11 (1.36)
SP: 1.33
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 24 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

It's Time Again

Ballinrobe · 18:30 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

20 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Buckland Belle

Windsor · 18:48 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/10 → 10/11

Still 11/10 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets

5 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted

Why it rates

• Windsor. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -11.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Von Krolock

Brighton · 15:30 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 5/2

Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Motawaared

Musselburgh · 15:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Molly Mac

Windsor · 19:18 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook

14 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 64.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +8.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

The Organiser

Brighton · 15:30 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Brighton. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

South Shore

Brighton · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Em Four

Brighton · 14:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rye

Brighton · 15:30 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Blue Anthem

Brighton · 15:30 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 2/1

24 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +21.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Forest Berry

Musselburgh · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/6 → 8/11

19 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 13lb. 1lb below career-high OR 66.

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/11 (1.72)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

Flat

The Lodge Lane

Ballinrobe · 20:00 · 11 runners · Other

THE MOVE

10/1 → 9/1

Still 10/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · William Hill · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Midnite · Quinn Bet

17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

Flat

Zara's Dream

Ballinrobe · 20:00 · 11 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/8 → 5/4

Still 11/8 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

7 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/4 (2.52)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

Chase

Rusty Harkness

Ballinrobe · 19:30 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

22 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ski Angel

Musselburgh · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Musselburgh. 1/8 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

Flat

Nakila Sun

Windsor · 17:48 · 10 runners · Other

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

Still 15/8 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

7 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Goodgollymissholly

Ballinrobe · 18:00 · 12 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · BetWright · Smarkets

19 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Ocean Murphy

Ballinrobe · 17:26 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetWright

18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Berkshire Boom

Windsor · 18:48 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 24 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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