Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 21 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7707 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Edmond Halley

Hamilton · 17:02 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 9/4

Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 25 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+141% better than SP · +30.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 21 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Magnatura

Leicester · 16:47 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time b.

Previously on record

Alerted 28 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 21 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Arlecchino's Rex

Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:42 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill

24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/13 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 10 Sept · won

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 21 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Day Trader

Listowel · 16:05 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Quinn Bet

19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Gilded Call

Ffos Las · 14:38 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 21 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Bay Breeze

Hamilton · 17:02 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Star Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Quinn Bet

12 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/2 on Soft.

Previously on record

Alerted 9 Sept · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 21 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Thistle Nil

Hamilton · 15:55 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 13/2

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Hamilton. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 21 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Harry's Pop

Ffos Las · 14:04 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 23 Aug · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

River Trieux

Fairyhouse · 16:25 · 17 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom

5 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 9 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/4 (3.30)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 21 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Captain Cairney

Ffos Las · 15:44 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

16 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 27 Aug · won

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 21 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Givehertilxmas

Fairyhouse · 16:57 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets

13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 31 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Impressor

Hamilton · 17:02 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Hamilton. 2/11 at this course.

• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 20 Sept · won

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 21 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Millbuie

Hamilton · 13:43 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 2 Sept · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 21 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Cooley's Mist

Listowel · 17:12 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 20 Aug · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 21 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Vlhova

Listowel · 13:53 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 6lb. 7lb below career-high OR 79.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Kumharas

Hamilton · 14:15 · 5 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Smarkets

9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 1 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 21 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Up The Anti

Ffos Las · 15:09 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 2 Sept · lost

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 21 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Wellwhatshappenin

Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time t.

Previously on record

Alerted 14 Sept · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 21 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Liberated Light

Listowel · 17:12 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 2 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-39% better than SP · -4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 21 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

King of The Dance

Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 28 Aug · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 21 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Last Trump

Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Look Back Smiling

Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 9lb. 19lb below career-high OR 82.

Previously on record

Alerted 18 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Happier

Ffos Las · 15:09 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

6 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Ffos Las. 1/1 at this course.

• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 12lb. 2lb below career-high OR 62.

Previously on record

Alerted 14 Sept · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 21 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Midnight's Dream

Leicester · 17:17 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time p.

Previously on record

Alerted 10 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 21 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Wie Wunderbar

Listowel · 15:30 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

10 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Williamsburg

Listowel · 13:23 · 11 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets

14 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 30 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

The Austrian

Listowel · 16:40 · 11 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/8 → 6/5

Still 11/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+59% better than SP · +23.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 21 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Zaraahmando

Listowel · 13:53 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets

8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 8lb. 4lb below career-high OR 75.

Previously on record

Alerted 15 Sept · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 21 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN

King Christoph

Listowel · 13:23 · 11 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 21 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Highland Harvey

Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:42 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 10 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+105% better than SP · +12.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 21 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN

Keogie

Listowel · 14:23 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

Still 15/8 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet

4 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 1 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Satyress

Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:42 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/5 → 4/6

Still 4/5 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Hollywood Bets

6 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 14 Sept · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -7.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 21 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Veydari

Hamilton · 15:55 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First run after wind surgery.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 21 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Naoi

Fairyhouse · 16:57 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 20 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 21 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlat

Circle of Secrets

Ffos Las · 16:19 · 4 runners · Other

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Distillation

Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:42 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/4 → 5/4

Still 6/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets

4 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/4 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 18 Sept · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +23.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 21 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Hugo's Girl

Fairyhouse · 17:27 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 10 Sept · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Georg Zhukov

Ffos Las · 17:22 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 12 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 21 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Tortola

Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:12 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 18 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 21 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Dawnmore

Listowel · 13:23 · 11 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

Still 15/8 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power

4 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 17 Sept · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +14.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 21 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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