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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 1 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatMAIDEN
Snowing
Gowran Park · 14:00 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +14.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Federal Envoy
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +15.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
Jessica
Wolverhampton (AW) · 17:12 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/4 → 6/5
19 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/5 (2.16)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
Vlhova
Gowran Park · 16:00 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/1 → 13/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Regally Blonde
Ripon · 17:18 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ripon. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Horace Wallace
Lingfield (AW) · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 10 Bet
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 10lb below career-high OR 75.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+115% better than SP · +16.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAPMAIDEN
Media Legend
Wolverhampton (AW) · 17:45 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 77.
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +14.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bona Fortuna
Brighton · 19:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 10 Bet
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+77% better than SP · +12.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Shaw Park
Brighton · 18:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
Walt
Ripon · 14:40 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Yes I'm Mali
Ripon · 15:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets · 10 Bet
5 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 13lb. 1lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.52)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +18.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 1 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
The Captains Day
Gowran Park · 14:30 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Nazario
Gowran Park · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+113% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Poet's Dawn
Ripon · 14:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Ripon. 3/14 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 73.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ninth Crusade
Gowran Park · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 1 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Banbridge
Gowran Park · 17:32 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · 10 Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Khepri
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:55 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-36% better than SP · -5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rye
Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Magic Runner
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:55 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 2/14 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sheik Yerbouti
Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tattie Bogle
Brighton · 18:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 7lb below career-high OR 80.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Henery Hawk
Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill
20 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/9 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Educating Rita
Ripon · 16:13 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Blackjack
Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Paranjape
Lingfield (AW) · 16:55 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Highland Harvey
Brighton · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sangara
Brighton · 17:06 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
King David
Brighton · 18:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 1 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Starborn Legend
Gowran Park · 15:00 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
6 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/11 (1.92)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -12.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Majestic King
Gowran Park · 17:00 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Boyle Sports
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Gowran Park. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Hasita
Gowran Park · 15:00 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Paddy Power
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +16.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Milford Grange
Ripon · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Alpine Wedding
Gowran Park · 14:00 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ottoman
Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Motta Alta
Gowran Park · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 79.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Havana Jag
Brighton · 16:06 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
25 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Beach Partee
Brighton · 16:06 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Brighton. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Loleeta
Brighton · 16:06 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mister Sox
Ripon · 16:13 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
American Psycho
Ripon · 14:40 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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