Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 1 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatMAIDEN

Mala

Gowran Park · 14:00 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power

15 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 1 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Muchacho

Brighton · 16:36 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet

12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -4.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Inca Warrior

Ripon · 15:10 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · BetTom

24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Miss Americana

Gowran Park · 16:30 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:06, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chasing Gold

Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +4.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dion Baker

Brighton · 18:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.

• Brighton. 3/7 at this course.

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 73.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 1 Sept 2026

Flat

Star Of Beauty

Gowran Park · 16:00 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 1 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Consenza

Gowran Park · 14:30 · 15 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

40/1 → 25/1

Still 40/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 1 Sept 2026

Flat

Catavega

Ripon · 14:40 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

33/1 → 20/1

Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+79% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Luan

Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thundering Breeze

Brighton · 17:06 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +2.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Station Bar

Brighton · 18:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Warrnambool

Lingfield (AW) · 14:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 12lb. 18lb below career-high OR 70.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Norflondonforever

Lingfield (AW) · 14:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 21lb. 7lb below career-high OR 70.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +4.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 1 Sept 2026

Flat

Phalanx Nation

Wolverhampton (AW) · 17:12 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/4 → 15/8

Still 9/4 at 15 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

9 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +19.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 1 Sept 2026

Flat

Una Matata

Gowran Park · 16:00 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

16/1 → 11/1

Still 16/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · Betano · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

14 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 1 Sept 2026

Flat

Quinta Girl

Gowran Park · 16:00 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. 8lb below career-high OR 80.

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 1 Sept 2026

Flat

Tax Me Later

Gowran Park · 16:00 · 8 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/1 → 7/1

Still 9/1 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · 10 Bet · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Betano

13 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +9.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Goyard

Ripon · 16:13 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

26 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Phaedra

Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 13/2

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lexington Boom

Ripon · 15:10 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet

13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Silken Bay

Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:20 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Poor Relation

Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:55 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 11/2

Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Betano · Hollywood Bets

16 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 1 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Invincible Mind

Gowran Park · 14:30 · 15 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Gold Star Gazing

Lingfield (AW) · 14:50 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+97% better than SP · +13.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

All About George

Brighton · 17:06 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 7/1

Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Makes Me Wonder

Brighton · 17:06 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 1 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Bartholomew

Gowran Park · 17:32 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · BetTom · BresBet · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +15.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

La Peregrina

Lingfield (AW) · 16:20 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/4 → 11/8

Still 6/4 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Coral · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

5 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 13/8 (2.68)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +18.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAPMAIDEN

Norman Invasion

Wolverhampton (AW) · 17:45 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright

13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +5.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

The Pug

Lingfield (AW) · 14:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

Still 25/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 40/1 (38.00)
SP: 67.00
Beat SP: No
-43% better than SP · -1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Phoenix Moon

Lingfield (AW) · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power

6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Lingfield (AW). 2/6 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-39% better than SP · -9.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Far Too Fizzy

Lingfield (AW) · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

• Lingfield (AW). 1/6 at this course.

Risks

• Up 10lb. 3lb below career-high OR 67.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cladach

Gowran Park · 15:30 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Midnite

5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAPMAIDEN

Master of Entropy

Wolverhampton (AW) · 17:45 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Divot

Lingfield (AW) · 14:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/8 → 13/8

Still 15/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

7 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 26lb. 2lb below career-high OR 67.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/8 (2.90)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Yermanthere

Ripon · 14:10 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Ripon. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Letsbeatsepsis

Brighton · 18:15 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 1 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mr Perth

Gowran Park · 17:00 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +5.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 1 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Social Circle

Gowran Park · 14:00 · 16 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

66/1 → 25/1

Still 66/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 66/1 (67.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 1 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

Browse all receipts