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October Surprise · Lingfield (AW) 17:40

Published 8 August 2026 · Updated 9 August 2026 · HorseWhale

At 14:01 on 8 August 2026, 25 bookmakers cut October Surprise from 16/1 to 14/1 in the 17:40 at Lingfield (AW). At the time of the alert, 16/1 was still available at Bet365, William Hill, Coral, Boyle Sports, Ladbrokes, BetTom, Virgin Bet, LiveScore Bet, BetAhoy, Octobet, Star Sports and Quinn Bet. The race returned an SP of 10.00, making the alert price +70% better than SP, or +4.1 probability points. It finished 6 of 10.

Sent under an earlier detection ruleset, when the panel included firms that are not fixed-odds bookmakers. Prices and counts shown are as sent.

Graded receipt

FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/114/1
Still 16/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports · Quinn Bet
25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 11.50
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Fired 14:01, 8 Aug 2026

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