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Roscommon

Every steam move alert fired at Roscommon, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 18 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
81
alerts
73%
beat SP
+3.1
avg probability points vs SP
FlatHANDICAP
Summer Island
Roscommon · 19:15 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
18 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 18 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Eighteenth Smiles
Roscommon · 17:45 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-53% better than SP · -11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 18 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Earls
Roscommon · 19:15 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 18 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Out On Friday
Roscommon · 20:15 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
17 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+109% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 18 Aug 2026
Flat
Green Dreamer
Roscommon · 18:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
7 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 13/8 (2.62)
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 18 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Magnum Cor
Roscommon · 19:45 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/5 → 4/6
Still 4/5 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetWright · BetTom · Betano · BresBet · Dragon Bet
5 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dragon Of Malta
Roscommon · 19:15 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 14/1
Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Flower Forest
Roscommon · 18:45 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 18 Aug 2026
Flat
Kakori
Roscommon · 17:10 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 18 Aug 2026
Flat
Sword Of State
Roscommon · 18:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Betano · Dragon Bet · talkSPORT BET
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 18 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Coulstys Way
Roscommon · 20:15 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Captain James Cook
Roscommon · 17:45 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 5/1
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Aug 2026
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