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Roscommon

Every steam move alert fired at Roscommon, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 31 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
81
alerts
73%
beat SP
+3.1
avg probability points vs SP
FlatHANDICAP
Stellar Moment
Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:15, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Neptunes Staircase
Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:57, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Faro Island
Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:36, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Glen Breeze
Roscommon · 17:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:09, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Punica Granatum
Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:09, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Coolnagrattan
Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
50/1 → 28/1
Still 50/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 50/1 (55.00)
SP: 67.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:51, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Letiza
Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:35, 31 Aug 2026
Flat
God Of Power
Roscommon · 18:25 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:47, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Youcansaythatagain
Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:02, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bullet Bourbon
Roscommon · 17:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:56, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gordon Bennett
Roscommon · 17:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 25/1 (27.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:53, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Flying Fortress
Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:53, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fratas
Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +13.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:32, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Highbury See See
Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:23, 31 Aug 2026
Flat
Full Volume
Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:55, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Miss Romagna
Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:13, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Zoffman
Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:07, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Shambata
Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:01, 31 Aug 2026
Flat
Wunderschon
Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
Still 33/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · BetWright · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 66/1 (70.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:33, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
La Campanella
Roscommon · 17:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:21, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sir Trancealot
Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 14/1
Still 28/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. 1lb below career-high OR 59.
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+93% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tintinabulla
Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
66/1 → 25/1
Still 66/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 66/1 (67.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: Yes
+97% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lord Aus
Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Wipeawayyourtears
Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 15lb. Career-high OR 59.
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Summer Snow
Roscommon · 19:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 15
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: No
-54% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Morehampton
Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Nathema
Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 60.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gavoo
Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 9lb below career-high OR 89.
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+158% better than SP · +10.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mercurial
Roscommon · 17:55 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Metallic
Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 67.00
Beat SP: No
-75% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Glen Echo
Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 63.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 31 Aug 2026
Flat
South Dakota
Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Canon Law
Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 7 firms when alerted
BetMGM · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 17lb. Career-high OR 55.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Cosmetic
Roscommon · 18:55 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Phoenix Pairc
Roscommon · 17:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 72.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Augusta Rock
Roscommon · 19:55 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 53.
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 31 Aug 2026
Flat
Ruler's Control
Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 31 Aug 2026
Flat
Hazdann
Roscommon · 18:25 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +12.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 31 Aug 2026
Flat
Dial Me In
Roscommon · 18:25 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 31 Aug 2026
Flat
Lars Soldier
Roscommon · 16:50 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 31 Aug 2026
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