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Ripon

Every steam move alert fired at Ripon, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 1 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
83
alerts
81%
beat SP
+4.1
avg probability points vs SP
FlatHANDICAP
Star People
Ripon · 15:10 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
6 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/8 (2.68)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:06, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Twilight Safari
Ripon · 17:18 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 12lb below career-high OR 75.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:45, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Zermatt Star
Ripon · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:33, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Cosmos Raj
Ripon · 14:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Bet365 · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:21, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Charlie Mason
Ripon · 15:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:09, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Paroda Diva
Ripon · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:39, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bellasio
Ripon · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:33, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Anaisa
Ripon · 15:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 18/1
Still 28/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ripon. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 40/1 (44.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:18, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Zimmerman
Ripon · 17:18 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Inca Warrior
Ripon · 15:10 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
Catavega
Ripon · 14:40 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+79% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Goyard
Ripon · 16:13 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
26 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lexington Boom
Ripon · 15:10 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Yermanthere
Ripon · 14:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ripon. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Farandaway
Ripon · 16:13 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Venture Capital
Ripon · 16:13 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 16lb below career-high OR 95.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+79% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kind Touch
Ripon · 15:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 7/1
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ripon. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 4lb below career-high OR 84.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Almarada Prince
Ripon · 16:13 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 85.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
No Knee Never
Ripon · 14:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fortamour
Ripon · 16:13 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Si White
Ripon · 17:18 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
8 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
The Resdev Roman
Ripon · 14:40 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Top Juggler
Ripon · 15:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 79.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Draupnir
Ripon · 14:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Regally Blonde
Ripon · 17:18 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ripon. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Poet's Dawn
Ripon · 14:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Ripon. 3/14 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 73.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
Walt
Ripon · 14:40 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Yes I'm Mali
Ripon · 15:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets · 10 Bet
5 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 13lb. 1lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.52)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +18.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Educating Rita
Ripon · 16:13 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
Empress Princess
Ripon · 14:40 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook
6 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 1/1 (1.99)
SP: 1.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +16.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
Kumharas
Ripon · 14:40 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mister Sox
Ripon · 16:13 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Milford Grange
Ripon · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bollin Neil
Ripon · 17:18 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 11/1
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
American Psycho
Ripon · 14:40 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 1 Sept 2026
Flat
Ten Sixty Six
Ripon · 17:20 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:51, 31 Aug 2026
Flat
Golden Samba
Ripon · 17:20 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 16lb. 1lb below career-high OR 45.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:32, 31 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mr Professor
Ripon · 15:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:35, 31 Aug 2026
FlatListed
Not My Type
Ripon · 15:05 · 7 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
17/2 → 13/2
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:59, 31 Aug 2026
FlatListed
Bear Lee
Ripon · 15:05 · 7 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
33/1 → 16/1
Still 33/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+127% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:59, 31 Aug 2026
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