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Twilight Safari · Ripon 17:18
Published 1 September 2026 · Updated 1 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 13:45 on 1 September 2026, 23 bookmakers cut Twilight Safari from 16/1 to 12/1 in the 17:18 at Ripon. At the time of the alert, 16/1 was still available at Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 13.00, making the alert price +35% better than SP, or +2.0 probability points. It finished 5 of 6, beaten 26.5 lengths.
Graded receipt
Flat HANDICAP
Ripon · 17:18 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 12lb below career-high OR 75.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Fired 13:45, 1 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
13:45 on 1 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
23 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
16/1 at Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 12lb below career-high OR 75.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 13.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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