Redcar

Every steam move alert fired at Redcar, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 22 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

125

alerts

75%

beat SP

+4.4

avg probability points vs SP

FlatHANDICAP

The Caltonian

Redcar · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom

20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 7lb. 26lb below career-high OR 94.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Taygar

Redcar · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet

11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -4.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mr King

Redcar · 17:25 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mighty Quiet

Redcar · 18:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet

15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Up 12lb. 5lb below career-high OR 71.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 22 Aug 2026

Flat

Callisterra

Redcar · 16:18 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · BetTom · Matchbook

11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -10.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 22 Aug 2026

Flat

Dontlookanyfurther

Redcar · 16:18 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Always Blue

Redcar · 18:30 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Smarkets

16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 72.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Aug 2026

Flat

Bigalo

Redcar · 16:50 · 11 runners · Other

THE MOVE

10/11 → 4/5

Still 10/11 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power

5 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chesneys Charm

Redcar · 18:30 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 6/1

24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 78.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 22 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bye Law

Redcar · 17:31 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 7/1

6 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 11.00
BSP: 16.52
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:11, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Buxted Reel

Redcar · 16:57 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 10/1

Still 11/1 at 11 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · Star Sports · Quinn Bet

12 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 16.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:34, 8 Aug 2026

Flat

Up The Monk

Redcar · 16:19 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

16/1 → 14/1

Still 16/1 at 12 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · Coral · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Unibet · BetTom · 10 Bet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports

18 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 19.00
BSP: 24.22
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:16, 8 Aug 2026

Flat

Ellie's de Vega

Redcar · 16:19 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports

10 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.75
BSP: 2.74
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +3.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:46, 8 Aug 2026

Flat

Let's Go Hugo

Redcar · 16:19 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Star Sports · Midnite · Quinn Bet

6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:34, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Paladin

Redcar · 15:12 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 6.80
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:07, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Nyman

Redcar · 15:12 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 9/1

24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
BSP: 15.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:01, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Fidelius

Redcar · 15:47 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 16/1

Still 18/1 at 15 firms when alerted
William Hill · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · 10 Bet · Virgin Bet · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Dragon Bet · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds · Star Sports

10 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 13.16
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:01, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Capital Guarantee

Redcar · 15:12 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 18/1

Still 20/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · PricedUp Bet · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · 10 Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite

6 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (30.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 16.50
Beat SP: Yes
+131% better than SP · +4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:46, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Masaban

Redcar · 17:31 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · 10 Bet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
BSP: 4.08
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:44, 8 Aug 2026

Flat

Pinpoint

Redcar · 16:19 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet

18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:20, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dalamara

Redcar · 14:37 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 10/1

Still 11/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet · Star Sports · Quinn Bet

8 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 17.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:58, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Miss Potomac

Redcar · 14:37 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 14/1

Still 16/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · BetTom · 10 Bet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports · Midnite

9 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 34.00
BSP: 55.00
Beat SP: No
-49% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:52, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Space Bear

Redcar · 17:31 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · Bet365 · Coral · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · Star Sports · Midnite

9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
BSP: 4.25
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:49, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Amidst The Chaos

Redcar · 15:12 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 18/1

Still 22/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · Star Sports · Midnite

8 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 33/1 (36.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 21.00
Beat SP: Yes
+112% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:46, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Time Twister

Redcar · 16:57 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 16/1

28 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 34.00
BSP: 55.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:31, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Billy Bathgate

Redcar · 16:57 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred

28 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 6.60
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:07, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Spring Is Sprung

Redcar · 15:47 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet · 7Bet

7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 5.70
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:07, 8 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Khanimambo

Redcar · 14:02 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

25/1 → 22/1

Still 25/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Midnite · William Hill · Betfred · Unibet · BetTom · 10 Bet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

10 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 50/1 (50.00)
SP: 34.00
BSP: 80.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:01, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Galistra

Redcar · 16:57 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

80/1 → 66/1

Still 80/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

29 firms had already cut to 66/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 80/1 (81.00)
SP: 101.00
BSP: 145.15
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:58, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Spooky Wooky

Redcar · 16:57 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

50/1 → 40/1

Still 50/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

22 firms had already cut to 40/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 21.00
BSP: 27.00
Beat SP: Yes
+143% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:58, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ice Show

Redcar · 14:37 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 18/1

30 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 29.00
BSP: 42.00
Beat SP: No
-34% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:55, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Harry The Rogue

Redcar · 15:12 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

40/1 → 33/1

Still 40/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · PricedUp Bet · Star Sports

7 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 50/1 (50.00)
SP: 34.00
BSP: 57.99
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 8 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Vastern

Redcar · 14:02 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · PricedUp Bet · Bet365 · Midnite

12 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 20/1 (22.00)
SP: 19.00
BSP: 60.00
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:49, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Gorgeous Mr George

Redcar · 15:12 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

Still 12/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · 10 Bet · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

20 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
BSP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 8 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Magic Lady Mae

Redcar · 14:02 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

100/1 → 80/1

Still 100/1 at 7 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · Bet365 · Unibet · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite

12 firms had already cut to 80/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 150/1 (151.00)
SP: 67.00
BSP: 275.16
Beat SP: Yes
+125% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:19, 8 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Raggaas

Redcar · 14:02 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/4 → 6/4

Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · PricedUp Bet

19 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.05)
SP: 2.88
BSP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:07, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rosenpur

Redcar · 15:47 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

29 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:49, 8 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Bowie Lass

Redcar · 14:02 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

125/1 → 100/1

Still 125/1 at 14 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · Unibet · BetTom · 10 Bet · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports · Midnite

7 firms had already cut to 100/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 150/1 (151.00)
SP: 101.00
BSP: 440.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:41, 8 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Suntino Lady

Redcar · 14:02 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

80/1 → 66/1

24 firms had already cut to 66/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 66/1 (67.00)
SP: 51.00
BSP: 95.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:41, 8 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sea The Power

Redcar · 15:12 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

40/1 → 33/1

11 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 41.00
BSP: 79.65
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:29, 8 Aug 2026

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