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Newmarket (July)

Every steam move alert fired at Newmarket (July), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 21 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
96
alerts
69%
beat SP
+3.3
avg probability points vs SP
Flat
Al Jabbar
Newmarket (July) · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/5 → 4/6
Still 4/5 at 1 firm when alerted
7Bet
4 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Liberate
Newmarket (July) · 15:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 17lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Miss Guinevere
Newmarket (July) · 15:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Matchbook · Dragon Bet
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rizal
Newmarket (July) · 16:20 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Bet Victor · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet
9 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 82.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/11 (1.90)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 21 Aug 2026
Flat
Majestic Jude
Newmarket (July) · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.80)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bami
Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fanciulla Del West
Newmarket (July) · 15:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
24 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 71.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rogue Citation
Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newmarket (July). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hilltop
Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newmarket (July). 0/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Shallow
Newmarket (July) · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Newmarket (July). 0/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 4lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Angel Shared
Newmarket (July) · 15:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Unibet · Betano · Dragon Bet · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Newmarket (July). 0/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 21 Aug 2026
Flat
Beguiled
Newmarket (July) · 14:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/13 → 8/15
6 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/15 (1.53)
SP: 1.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Aug 2026
Flat
Jessica
Newmarket (July) · 14:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 5/1
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newmarket (July). 0/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 21 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sibling Rivelry
Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetWright · talkSPORT BET · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:39, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Traveling Man
Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · talkSPORT BET
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:18, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Venetian Lion
Newmarket (July) · 15:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · Unibet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite
6 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:09, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mertoun
Newmarket (July) · 15:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · talkSPORT BET · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:36, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Scoot Away
Newmarket (July) · 14:00 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Society Girl
Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · talkSPORT BET · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Missouri Waltz
Newmarket (July) · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
10 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Calyxoh
Newmarket (July) · 15:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Plastic Dream
Newmarket (July) · 14:00 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
Still 25/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 25/1 (27.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Tie A Navyribbon
Newmarket (July) · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Paladin
Newmarket (July) · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Glen Nevis
Newmarket (July) · 15:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · talkSPORT BET
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +12.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Elpeeare
Newmarket (July) · 14:00 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · talkSPORT BET
17 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Zephyra
Newmarket (July) · 14:00 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 10/3
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · 10 Bet · talkSPORT BET
20 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +16.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Cherry Cobbler
Newmarket (July) · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (2.98)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Mandolin Rain
Newmarket (July) · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dashing Dick
Newmarket (July) · 16:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Jack Langley
Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · 10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Potomac River
Newmarket (July) · 15:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Minkaas
Newmarket (July) · 14:00 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/8 → 7/4
Still 15/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
7 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (2.98)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +16.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Race To The Stars
Newmarket (July) · 15:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
25 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Expressionless
Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Round The Table
Newmarket (July) · 15:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Be Patient
Newmarket (July) · 15:45 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Stormy Music
Newmarket (July) · 16:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet
15 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.75
BSP: 2.89
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:13, 15 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Havana Blue
Newmarket (July) · 14:10 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · BetWright · BetAhoy · Octobet
15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.50
BSP: 2.83
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +9.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:07, 15 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Strike
Newmarket (July) · 14:10 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
26 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 12.00
BSP: 16.19
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:07, 15 Aug 2026
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