Curragh

Every steam move alert fired at Curragh, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 10 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

119

alerts

71%

beat SP

+3.0

avg probability points vs SP

FlatMAIDEN

New World Order

Curragh · 13:15 · 19 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

14/1 → 12/1

Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetTom · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 15
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 26.00
BSP: 40.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 9 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Nando The Great

Curragh · 13:15 · 19 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

150/1 → 125/1

Still 150/1 at 12 firms when alerted
William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · BetTom · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports · Midnite · Quinn Bet

8 firms had already cut to 125/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 19
Alert price: 200/1 (220.00)
SP: 301.00
BSP: 1000.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -0.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 9 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Snowing

Curragh · 13:15 · 19 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 3/1

29 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.75
BSP: 2.99
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +11.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 9 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Supreme Lord

Curragh · 14:15 · 11 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

16/1 → 10/1

27 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.00
BSP: 11.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:27, 9 Aug 2026

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