Carlisle

Every steam move alert fired at Carlisle, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 19 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

107

alerts

73%

beat SP

+4.3

avg probability points vs SP

Flat

Guadalevin

Carlisle · 14:05 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/10 → 10/11

Still 11/10 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

7 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Keep An Eye On It

Carlisle · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAPMAIDEN

Zous Juice

Carlisle · 15:13 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAPMAIDEN

Big Apple Jack

Carlisle · 15:48 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/4 → 85/40

Still 11/4 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · Betfred · BetTom · 7Bet · BetWright · Betano · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · talkSPORT BET

14 firms had already cut to 85/40 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Yellow Diamonds

Carlisle · 16:55 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/4 → 6/4

Still 7/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 19 Aug 2026

Flat

Ma Blushin Rosie

Carlisle · 14:05 · 7 runners · Other

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Smarkets · Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+235% better than SP · +16.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAPMAIDEN

Reenie's Dream

Carlisle · 15:13 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · BetTom · Matchbook

14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +6.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hostility

Carlisle · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano · Midnite · talkSPORT BET · Paddy Power

7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +8.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAPMAIDEN

Uniter

Carlisle · 15:48 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Betano · talkSPORT BET

18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Maximum Velocity

Carlisle · 16:55 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 7/2

23 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Barley

Carlisle · 17:30 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 3/1

Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

24 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 19 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lauralynn

Carlisle · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 7/1

Still 8/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · BetTom · talkSPORT BET · Betano · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 12.54
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:07, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Shipshape

Carlisle · 16:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 14 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano · Dragon Bet · PricedUp Bet · BresBet · BestOdds · 7Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet

6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 5.82
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:48, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Storm Esme

Carlisle · 17:15 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 15.00
BSP: 17.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:18, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Talismans Time

Carlisle · 16:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Betfred · Bet Victor · BetTom · talkSPORT BET · Betano · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.25
BSP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +10.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:56, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Leelawadee

Carlisle · 17:15 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

15 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.88
BSP: 3.16
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Valentine Catcher

Carlisle · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

26 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hostility

Carlisle · 14:45 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 14 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · BetTom · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano · Dragon Bet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BresBet · BestOdds · 7Bet

12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.40
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +15.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Asia Force

Carlisle · 16:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/8 → 5/4

Still 11/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · PricedUp Bet

24 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.50
BSP: 2.66
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Izzari

Carlisle · 14:45 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 4.94
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jazz Queen

Carlisle · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 8/1

23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.50
BSP: 8.20
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +4.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Maldevious

Carlisle · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 5/1

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 7.60
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jewel Maker

Carlisle · 14:45 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Pickersgill

Carlisle · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
BSP: 14.15
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Concert Pitch

Carlisle · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · talkSPORT BET · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · BestOdds · 7Bet

14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
BSP: 3.77
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Great

Carlisle · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Betfred · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Betano · Dragon Bet · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BresBet · BestOdds · 7Bet · Midnite

10 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.40
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Viviana

Carlisle · 17:15 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred

24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.80
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jenever

Carlisle · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 17 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds · 7Bet · Betano · Dragon Bet · PricedUp Bet · BresBet · Midnite · Quinn Bet

8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 11 Aug 2026

Flat

Rogue Passion

Carlisle · 15:15 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

8/11 → 8/13

Still 8/11 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano

7 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/11 (1.73)
SP: 1.30
BSP: 1.33
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +19.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Only Dream Big

Carlisle · 17:15 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365

22 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
BSP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sixtygeesbaby

Carlisle · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 5.37
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +8.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sparkling Pink

Carlisle · 17:15 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet

20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 7.53
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Influencer Man

Carlisle · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano · Dragon Bet · BestOdds · 7Bet · Quinn Bet

15 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.35
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Aug 2026

Flat

Girl Scout

Carlisle · 15:15 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/4 → 9/4

Still 11/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano

22 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Beauty For Love

Carlisle · 15:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill

9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 8.50
BSP: 9.40
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 11 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Another Investment

Carlisle · 16:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Midnite

17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 5.70
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:27, 11 Aug 2026

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