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Ascot

Every steam move alert fired at Ascot, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 4 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
53
alerts
66%
beat SP
+2.3
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Stormhaven
Ascot · 15:05 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 7/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Betano
18 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+154% better than SP · +14.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:53, 4 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Veblen Good
Ascot · 16:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Betano
20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:50, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Raging Raj
Ascot · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:44, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Chymbulak
Ascot · 14:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:44, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Jonny Concrete
Ascot · 16:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hambelton
Ascot · 17:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetWright · Matchbook
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cancan In The Rain
Ascot · 13:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 78.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Shimmering Shadow
Ascot · 14:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Spanish Voice
Ascot · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 4 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Jolly Roger
Ascot · 16:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet
13 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Pure Mint
Ascot · 15:40 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet
9 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/5 (1.81)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +10.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 4 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Hickory
Ascot · 16:48 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 2/8 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Aalto
Ascot · 16:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 6lb below career-high OR 96.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Best Rate
Ascot · 16:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Betano · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Matchbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 4 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tex
Ascot · 13:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Paddy Power
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ascot. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 72.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 4 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ozat
Ascot · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · BetTom · 10 Bet · BetWright · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 6.20
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:07, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mister Winston
Ascot · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Unibet · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano · PricedUp Bet · Star Sports
16 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:07, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ohara
Ascot · 15:55 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 33/1
Still 40/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Virgin Bet · talkSPORT BET · LiveScore Bet · Betano · Star Sports
23 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 34.00
BSP: 40.63
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Serengeti
Ascot · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
80/1 → 66/1
Still 80/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Bet365 · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Bet Victor · Virgin Bet · talkSPORT BET · LiveScore Bet · Betano · PricedUp Bet
8 firms had already cut to 66/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 100/1 (110.00)
SP: 67.00
BSP: 86.79
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Blue Hercules
Ascot · 15:55 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Virgin Bet · talkSPORT BET · LiveScore Bet · Betano · 7Bet · Star Sports
17 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 11.00
BSP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bullet Point
Ascot · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · BetTom · Bet Victor · 10 Bet · talkSPORT BET · Betano · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports · Midnite
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 6.01
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:16, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Havana Hurricane
Ascot · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano · Star Sports · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 12.00
BSP: 13.54
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:41, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Cape Ashizuri
Ascot · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 14/1
Still 16/1 at 5 firms when alerted
CopyBet · Bet365 · Unibet · BestOdds · Star Sports
22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 21.00
BSP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:23, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Asgard's Captain
Ascot · 14:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 9.53
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:13, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Figjam
Ascot · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet
19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 12.00
BSP: 13.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:10, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Shrimp Shady
Ascot · 14:10 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Midnite
5 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.78)
SP: 2.10
BSP: 2.22
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +11.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:04, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Shaatir
Ascot · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 33/1
Still 40/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Unibet · BetWright · BestOdds
11 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 50/1 (50.00)
SP: 41.00
BSP: 56.09
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:58, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lavender Hill Mob
Ascot · 14:10 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 14/1
Still 16/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds · Star Sports
15 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
BSP: 18.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:55, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Castle Stuart
Ascot · 14:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 6.80
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:37, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Grasmere Boy
Ascot · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 16/1
Still 18/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano · CopyBet · Star Sports
19 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 17.24
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:28, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
American Gulf
Ascot · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 28/1
Still 33/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · CopyBet · Star Sports
21 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 40/1 (44.00)
Permanent record · Fired 13:16, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sportingsilvermine
Ascot · 14:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Coral · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano · CopyBet · Star Sports · Quinn Bet
13 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 22.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:07, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gaeli
Ascot · 13:35 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
66/1 → 50/1
Still 66/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · Star Sports
11 firms had already cut to 50/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 66/1 (70.00)
SP: 51.00
BSP: 100.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:58, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Level Look
Ascot · 15:55 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 14/1
Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Star Sports
14 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 19.00
BSP: 24.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:55, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Cinque Verde
Ascot · 13:35 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 14/1
Still 16/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano · CopyBet · Star Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · BresBet · BestOdds · 7Bet
8 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 15.00
BSP: 18.46
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gold Star Hero
Ascot · 13:35 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 20/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · CopyBet
18 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 25/1 (25.00)
SP: 21.00
BSP: 24.36
Beat SP: Yes
+19% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
King Of Berkshire
Ascot · 15:55 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Bet Victor · 10 Bet · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · Star Sports
10 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 10.76
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:49, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Pole Star
Ascot · 14:10 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 8.23
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:40, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
May Angel
Ascot · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
30 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 6.26
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:37, 8 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Claymore
Ascot · 14:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · BetWright · Betano · PricedUp Bet · Star Sports
7 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 21.00
BSP: 25.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:25, 8 Aug 2026
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