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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 14 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Aimeric
Sedgefield · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 8lb below career-high OR 108.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:06, 14 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Pure Majesty
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:06, 14 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Character Testing
Sedgefield · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 19lb. 3lb below career-high OR 97.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
King of Berkshire
Windsor · 16:12 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.84)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+19% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fan Mail
Thirsk · 15:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Femme Fatale
Kempton (AW) · 17:00 · 2 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 1/1
22 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +19.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 14 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Dream Of Ithaca
Thirsk · 14:21 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 55.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 14 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Uncle Al
Sedgefield · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Sedgefield. 1/5 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 5lb below career-high OR 87.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 14 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Crazee In Havana
Windsor · 14:12 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 14 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Roy Lane
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 14 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Extraterrestrial
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 14 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Roadshow
Sedgefield · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Sedgefield. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Rupert The Brave
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Clean Getaway
Sedgefield · 15:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Sedgefield. 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 14 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Aravalli
Windsor · 16:12 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Coral · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Windsor. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Marsh Benham
Windsor · 13:42 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 14 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Time After Time
Windsor · 16:42 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 14 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Catton Lady
Thirsk · 16:51 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betano · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 14 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Ravishing Beauty
Thirsk · 16:51 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 14 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Unionville
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 14 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Always Blue
Thirsk · 16:51 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 14 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Duchess Of Immatin
Windsor · 14:12 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 14 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Wellwhatshappenin
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+138% better than SP · +14.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
You Be Lucky Jean
Sedgefield · 14:30 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Sedgefield. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 14 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Master Celeritas
Thirsk · 15:21 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 14 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Mo Anam Chara
Thirsk · 16:21 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+163% better than SP · +17.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bladey Lady
Thirsk · 14:51 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Claret Time
Thirsk · 14:51 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet
5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 14 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Maggies Boy
Sedgefield · 15:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Sedgefield. 1/3 at this course.
• First-time v.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Bling
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 14 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Bahtiyar
Sedgefield · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 14 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Darkened Edge
Windsor · 17:12 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Mia Sunshine
Sedgefield · 14:30 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Littletown Lad
Sedgefield · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
5 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Sedgefield. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 84.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 14 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Artavian
Windsor · 16:42 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• First-time tb.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. Career record: 0/1 on Good To Soft.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Grey Tamam
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +8.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 14 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Tiger Tulip
Windsor · 15:42 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+127% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Crazy Plan
Windsor · 16:42 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Real Jack
Thirsk · 16:21 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time v.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Forbidden Colours
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time b.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 2/1 (2.96)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-34% better than SP · -11.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 14 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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