HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 23 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7566 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Physique
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 86.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAPGrade 3
Downmexicoway
Listowel · 16:15 · 18 runners · Grade 3
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Love Me Tender
Listowel · 13:55 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/2 → 4/11
Still 1/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/15 (1.53)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Tyson Fury
Listowel · 13:55 · 16 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · BetTom · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Speyside
Redcar · 14:57 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• First-time t.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Penfolds Grange
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• First-time v.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tribal Chief
Goodwood · 14:40 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Dragon Bet · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Goodwood. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Dolly Dior
Perth · 14:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Perth. 1/4 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Tikka
Goodwood · 15:50 · 14 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Classical Allusion
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 6lb below career-high OR 85.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Walk On Quest
Perth · 15:57 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Metal Merchant
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
What's The Plan
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Dontspoilasale
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 14lb below career-high OR 79.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Protectrix
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 68.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Donegan
Kempton (AW) · 16:20 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 18 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Betfred · BetMGM · Star Sports · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-47% better than SP · -9.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sound And Vision
Goodwood · 17:00 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Goodwood. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Show Me Glory
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/10 → 10/11
Still 11/10 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Caballo de Guerra
Perth · 15:22 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
15 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 9lb below career-high OR 124.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Pedro The Poet
Redcar · 17:17 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 9lb below career-high OR 70.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Letterston Lily
Perth · 14:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Perth. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 122.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +11.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
New Grange
Listowel · 17:22 · 11 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
Still 1/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
10 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 21/20 (2.04)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Zigazig Ah
Goodwood · 15:50 · 14 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 86.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+115% better than SP · +13.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChase
La Note Verte
Listowel · 16:47 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
Still 1/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hope Rising
Goodwood · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Green Sky
Goodwood · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 13lb. 33lb below career-high OR 113.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Kissmehoneyhoney
Goodwood · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Good vs Good To Firm. Career record: 0/2 on Good.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 23 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Bint Al Daar
Goodwood · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 17lb below career-high OR 86.
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Personal Best
Goodwood · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 82.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 23 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Paggane
Goodwood · 16:25 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 3.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Eyes Front
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Jimmy Speaking
Goodwood · 14:40 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Henrik Ibsen
Goodwood · 13:30 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 23 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Chalk Mountain
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 2/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tees Aggregates
Redcar · 16:41 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bigalo
Redcar · 14:22 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 3/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Respond
Goodwood · 15:15 · 5 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +15.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Breizh River
Perth · 15:57 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 3/1
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Sheikhnshah
Redcar · 15:32 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Emperor's Son
Redcar · 16:41 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +16.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 23 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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