Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 6 August 2026 · HorseWhale

9616 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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FlatHANDICAP
Sligo · 19:30 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
29 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 7.21
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 5 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sligo · 18:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
14/1 → 8/1
29 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 5 Aug 2026
Flat
Kempton (AW) · 18:50 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
17/2 → 13/2
31 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 6.99
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 5 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sligo · 18:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 9/2
31 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
BSP: 3.90
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 5 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Yarmouth · 19:40 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 1/1
32 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 2.50
BSP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 5 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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