Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 20 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8810 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

Flat
Newmarket (July) · 14:00 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 20 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Leopardstown · 19:30 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:54 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:25, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 14/1
Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Leopardstown · 18:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Leopardstown · 18:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
Still 33/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 150/1 (140.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+637% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
York · 17:20 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 20 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGFlat
Killarney · 20:15 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 20 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 1
York · 15:35 · 9 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
11/10 → 5/6
Still 11/10 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetWright · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom
6 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/5 (2.20)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +6.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 20 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Killarney · 17:43 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/6 → 4/6
Still 5/6 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Betfred · BetMGM · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · talkSPORT BET
12 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +17.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
25 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:00, 20 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:36 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 20 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Killarney · 18:45 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished BD
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 18:19 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 28/1 (30.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 16:51 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · talkSPORT BET · Virgin Bet · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Lingfield (AW) · 14:10 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 20 Aug 2026
Hurdle
Killarney · 17:43 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · BetWright · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Leopardstown · 20:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 15:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
10 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:54 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
York · 15:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
York · 15:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:01 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 20 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Killarney · 18:45 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 19:54 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:54 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 20 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 2
York · 13:50 · 17 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
18 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 20 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 2
York · 13:50 · 17 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 14:00 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
Still 25/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 25/1 (27.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Newcastle (AW) · 18:54 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/15 → 2/5
Still 8/15 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/7 (1.56)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 20 Aug 2026
GAMBLE FORMINGChaseHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 20 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 15:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 20 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Killarney · 19:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 14:35 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 20 Aug 2026
Flat
York · 14:25 · 20 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 20 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Leopardstown · 19:30 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 20 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Stratford · 18:06 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 20 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Browse all receipts