Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 21 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8770 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP

Thankfully

Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 82.

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:05, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Queen Of Astolat

Killarney · 19:50 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

28/1 → 12/1

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:02, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Adrian

Ffos Las · 17:02 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 16/1

Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 54.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:53, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Inca Heights

Salisbury · 18:27 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · Matchbook · Midnite

13 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:23, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Master Builder

York · 16:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• York. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:02, 21 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Puppet Master

Kilbeggan · 16:56 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 21lb. Career-high OR unavailable.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:47, 21 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Cocovic

Kilbeggan · 18:05 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:32, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 1

Mission Central

York · 15:35 · 18 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

8/1 → 7/1

Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · BetWright · Dragon Bet

23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 115.

RESULT
LOST · finished 16
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:26, 21 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Oklahoma

York · 16:45 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

2/1 → 13/8

Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

6 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:14, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Saxon Grace

Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:03, 21 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Likeness

Ffos Las · 15:20 · 3 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Smarkets

4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:56, 21 Aug 2026

FlatListed

Rion Rubette

Killarney · 18:20 · 10 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

28/1 → 18/1

Still 28/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 40/1 (38.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +1.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:50, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Glitter And Glory

Killarney · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 15lb. Career-high OR 74.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:44, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Mount Atlas

York · 14:25 · 8 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
talkSPORT BET · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• York. 1/3 at this course.

Risks

• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:14, 21 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Never Enough

York · 15:00 · 10 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom · Matchbook

12 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:09, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Herstmonceux

Salisbury · 19:27 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

40/1 → 28/1

Still 40/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

21 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 100/1 (100.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+144% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:05, 21 Aug 2026

FlatListed

Hardy Warrior

Killarney · 18:20 · 10 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

2/1 → 7/4

Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

11 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.20)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +10.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:59, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Port Darwin

Newmarket (July) · 15:45 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom

13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:53, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Stopherandgo

Salisbury · 19:27 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

100/1 → 33/1

Still 100/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 33/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 250/1 (300.00)
SP: 81.00
Beat SP: Yes
+270% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:50, 21 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Launch Sequence

York · 16:45 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · talkSPORT BET · Virgin Bet

10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:45, 21 Aug 2026

FlatListed

Syzygy

Killarney · 18:20 · 10 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · Midnite

18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 20/1 (22.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+69% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:39, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Zennor Storm

York · 13:50 · 19 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Dragon Bet

10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:39, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Oviedo

Ffos Las · 14:45 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/6 → 4/7

Still 4/6 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

6 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted

Why it rates

• Ffos Las. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/6 (1.68)
SP: 1.50
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +7.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:39, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Willowinghurn

Ffos Las · 15:55 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Smarkets · BetWright

19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 14lb below career-high OR 69.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:29, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Winged Messenger

Hamilton · 19:45 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports

13 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 21 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Lancaster Tower

York · 16:45 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 13 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · talkSPORT BET · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:14, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Christmas Is Comin

Salisbury · 17:57 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

50/1 → 25/1

Still 50/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 100/1 (110.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: Yes
+116% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:03, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Krissy

Hamilton · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

40/1 → 25/1

22 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:59, 21 Aug 2026

Hurdle

Magico

Kilbeggan · 17:32 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:45, 21 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Mysilverriverfeale

Kilbeggan · 18:05 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Kilbeggan. 1/1 at this course.

Risks

• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 106.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:29, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Casamorati

Killarney · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 9/2

Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright

21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:29, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Optimatum

Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetWright · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 21lb. 6lb below career-high OR 71.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:29, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

In Around Thehouse

Kilbeggan · 20:05 · 11 runners · Other

THE MOVE

18/1 → 11/1

Still 18/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+160% better than SP · +6.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:26, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Emma's Letter

Newmarket (July) · 15:45 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Betano · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook

13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:20, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Arvana Belle

Ffos Las · 15:55 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:14, 21 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

The Monkey Pole

Kilbeggan · 18:05 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

28/1 → 18/1

24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:14, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Exclusive Code

York · 13:50 · 19 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 17
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:08, 21 Aug 2026

Flat

Nakassama

Hamilton · 17:40 · 3 runners · Other

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Smarkets

9 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:02, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dream Of Ithaca

Ffos Las · 17:02 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:56, 21 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cougar Force

Ffos Las · 15:55 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:53, 21 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

Browse all receipts