Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.
HurdleMAIDEN
Killarney · 14:00 · 16 runners · Maiden
Still 11/8 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 22lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.82)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +16.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chester · 16:25 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 9/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
FlatListed
Newmarket (July) · 15:19 · 7 runners · Listed
Still 15/8 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:40 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +10.2 probability points
FlatListed
Newmarket (July) · 15:19 · 7 runners · Listed
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chester · 14:05 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 16/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
14 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chester · 14:05 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
13 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Killarney · 15:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Killarney · 15:10 · 14 runners · Handicap
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
HurdleMAIDEN
Killarney · 13:25 · 16 runners · Maiden
Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Killarney. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Lingfield (AW) · 18:45 · 12 runners · Maiden
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 17:04 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetTom · BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
York · 15:35 · 22 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+51% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chester · 16:25 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill
17 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Flat
Redcar · 16:18 · 12 runners · Other
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
York · 17:20 · 20 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Matchbook · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• York. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+68% better than SP · +15.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 18:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 72.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
FlatGroup 1
York · 15:00 · 14 runners · Group 1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
Flat
Redcar · 16:50 · 11 runners · Other
Still 10/11 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
5 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/11 (1.91)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 14:44 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 15:54 · 18 runners · Other
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
York · 14:25 · 17 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:15 · 5 runners · Handicap
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
Hurdle
Newton Abbot · 13:55 · 4 runners · Other
Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 1.15
Beat SP: Yes
+226% better than SP · +60.3 probability points
HurdleMAIDEN
Killarney · 13:25 · 16 runners · Maiden
Still 6/4 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 28lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -5.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newmarket (July) · 17:04 · 7 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Redcar · 18:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 78.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 85.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Hurdle
Newton Abbot · 13:55 · 4 runners · Other
Still 6/5 at 3 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BresBet
22 firms had already cut to 1/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 13:34 · 6 runners · Other
Still 13/8 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
5 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.72)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Hurdle
Newton Abbot · 13:55 · 4 runners · Other
Still 25/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+300% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
York · 16:10 · 20 runners · Handicap
Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 3.12
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 15:40 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · 7Bet · BetWright · Midnite · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 15:05 · 4 runners · Handicap
5 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 5/6 (1.82)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Flat
Newmarket (July) · 15:54 · 18 runners · Other
Still 11/8 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
20 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:15 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power · Smarkets · BetWright
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +18.2 probability points
FlatListed
York · 16:45 · 11 runners · Listed
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Flat
Curragh · 16:35 · 6 runners · Other
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill
13 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +23.5 probability points
